Game Details:
Matchup: Yankees vs Blue Jays
Date & Time: Tuesday, July 22, 2025 | 7:07 PM ET
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Canada
Betting Line: Yankees -120 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
AL East Battle Heating Up: The Yankees and Blue Jays are locked in a tight American League East race heading into the second half of the season. With both teams in the hunt for playoff positions, this game carries big implications in the standings.
Recent Series Form: The Yankees come into tonight’s game having won six of their last eight, including a weekend sweep of the Tigers. Toronto, meanwhile, is trying to regroup after dropping two of three to the Orioles, but remains tough at home with a 28-17 record at Rogers Centre.
Gerrit Cole Returns: The Yankees are expected to send ace Gerrit Cole to the mound after he looked sharp in his return from elbow inflammation earlier this month. Cole pitched five shutout innings in his last outing and will be key for the Yankees against a potent Toronto lineup.
Injury Report
Yankees:
Out: Anthony Rizzo (back), Clarke Schmidt (shoulder)
Day-to-Day: Alex Verdugo (foot soreness)
Blue Jays:
Out: Alek Manoah (elbow), Danny Jansen (hamstring)
Day-to-Day: Bo Bichette (wrist)
Stats & Trends
- Head-to-Head: Yankees lead the season series 4-3.
- Yankees on the Road: 25-20 away from Yankee Stadium this season.
- Blue Jays at Home: 28-17 at Rogers Centre in 2025.
- Over/Under Trends: The total has gone under in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
Player Prop to Watch
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) – Total Bases: 1.5
Guerrero Jr. has hit safely in 9 of his last 10 games and will be tasked with kick-starting the offense against Cole. With Jansen sidelined, Guerrero’s RBI opportunities should remain high, making the over on his total bases an appealing prop.
Gerrit Cole (Yankees) – Strikeouts: 6.5
After fanning seven Dodgers in his last start, Cole should be able to rack up Ks against a Blue Jays lineup that has struggled with strikeouts since mid-June. Expect him to pitch deep if his pitch count allows, giving bettors value on the over.
Prediction & Best Bets
Moneyline: Yankees -120 → With Cole back in form and the Yankees’ momentum on their side, they’re a solid pick on the road.
Total: Under 8.5 → With two elite starters on the mound and both offenses inconsistent recently, the under presents strong value.
Player Prop: Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts → He’s trending upward and could dominate a strikeout-prone Jays lineup.
The Blue Jays will fight hard behind their home crowd, but if Cole pitches like he did last week, it’s tough to bet against the Yankees stealing one in Toronto.
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Blue Jays 2