Game Details:
Matchup: Yankees vs Blue Jays
Date & Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 | 7:07 PM ET
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Canada
Betting Line: Blue Jays -1.5 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
AL East Rivals Close Out the Season: With both teams out of postseason contention, this game is more about pride and finishing strong. Toronto and New York are tied 8-8 in their season series, making this a rubber match and a chance for one team to exit the season with momentum.
Pitching Matchup: The Yankees are expected to send Clarke Schmidt (10-6, 3.92 ERA) to the mound, while the Blue Jays counter with Alek Manoah (5-9, 4.85 ERA). Both right-handers have had inconsistent seasons but have shown flashes of dominance, which makes for an unpredictable duel.
Star Watch: Aaron Judge enters the game with 42 home runs in another MVP-like season, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. looks to cap off a strong finish at the plate for Toronto. Both power hitters are threats to single-handedly swing the result.
Injury Report
Yankees:
Out: Anthony Rizzo (concussion), Nestor Cortes (shoulder), Jasson Domínguez (elbow)
Questionable: DJ LeMahieu (calf tightness)
Blue Jays:
Out: Jordan Romano (elbow), Danny Jansen (wrist)
Questionable: Bo Bichette (hamstring)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Yankees: 72-86 ATS
Blue Jays: 78-80 ATS
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 4 of Yankees’ last 6 games
The total has gone under in 5 of Blue Jays’ last 7 games at home
Player Props to Watch
Aaron Judge – Home Runs: 0.5 (Take the Over)
Judge thrives against Toronto pitching and has 3 homers in his last 6 games at Rogers Centre.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – Hits: 1.5 (Take the Over)
Guerrero is batting .314 over the past 10 games and has success against Clarke Schmidt in the past.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5 → Expect Toronto to finish strong at home.
Total: Under 8.5 → With neither lineup at full strength and two capable pitchers, runs may be limited.
Player Prop: Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs → Ride the hot bat in a hitter-friendly park.
With a sellout crowd likely on hand for Fan Appreciation Night, look for the Blue Jays to break the season series tie and finish the year on a high note. Manoah may not go deep, but Toronto’s bullpen should do enough to keep the Yankees in check.
Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Yankees 3