Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat: Betting Preview & Prediction

Game Details:

Matchup: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
Date & Time: Friday, March 14, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Betting Line: Celtics -3.5 | Over/Under: 224.5

Key Storylines

Eastern Conference Heavyweight Bout

Two of the East’s top teams clash as the Boston Celtics visit the Miami Heat. Boston continues to dominate the standings, while Miami looks to climb further up the playoff seeding.

Playoff Rematch

These two teams have met in the playoffs multiple times in recent years, and this game provides another chapter in their growing rivalry. With both teams playing at a high level, expect a playoff-like atmosphere.

Boston’s Road Success

The Celtics have one of the best road records in the league this season and will look to continue their stellar play away from TD Garden. Miami, however, has been strong at home, making this a must-watch showdown.

Injury Report

Boston Celtics:
Out: Kristaps Porziņģis (ankle), Payton Pritchard (hamstring)
Questionable: Jrue Holiday (knee)

Miami Heat:
Out: Tyler Herro (foot), Josh Richardson (shoulder)
Questionable: Jimmy Butler (ankle)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Celtics: 36-26 ATS this season
Heat: 30-31 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone under in 35 of Boston’s 62 games.
The total has gone under in 38 of Miami’s 62 games.

Boston’s Dominance:

Boston has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 road games, while Miami has struggled to cover at home.

Player Prop to Watch

Jayson Tatum (Celtics) – Points Total: 27.5
Tatum has averaged 29.3 points in his last five games against Miami, making the over an intriguing bet.

Bam Adebayo (Heat) – Rebounds Total: 9.5
With Porziņģis out, Adebayo could see a higher rebound volume, making the over a solid pick.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Boston -3.5 → The Celtics’ road form gives them the edge.
Total: Under 224.5 → Both teams have leaned towards the under this season.
Player Prop: Jayson Tatum Over 27.5 points → High usage in a big game.

Expect a hard-fought contest, but Boston’s depth and defensive prowess should be enough to secure a win on the road.

Final Score Prediction: Celtics 108, Heat 102