Game Details:
Matchup: Pirates vs Braves
Date & Time: Sunday, September 28, 2025 | 7:20 PM ET
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Betting Line: Braves -1.5 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
Playoff Implications for Atlanta: The Braves have already clinched a postseason berth and are now jostling for playoff seeding with just one week left in the regular season. Every game counts as they look to secure home-field advantage throughout the National League playoffs.
Pirates Playing Spoiler: While Pittsburgh is out of playoff contention, they’re embracing the role of spoiler. They’ve won 6 of their last 10 games and are looking to build momentum heading into the offseason by taking down top-tier competition like Atlanta.
Recent Form: Atlanta has been on a roll at home, winning 8 of their last 10 games at Truist Park. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh enters this one having won their last two series, including a surprising set against the Cubs.
Injury Report
Braves:
Out: Max Fried (forearm), Sean Murphy (hamstring), Raisel Iglesias (shoulder)
Questionable: Ozzie Albies (foot soreness)
Pirates:
Out: David Bednar (back), Oneil Cruz (ankle)
Day-to-Day: Mitch Keller (arm fatigue)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Pirates: 73-82 ATS this season
Braves: 88-67 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 5 of the last 7 Braves games
The total has gone under in 6 of the last 9 Pirates road games
Home Field Advantage:
Atlanta has a stellar 50-25 record at home — one of the best in the league. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is just 32-43 on the road.
Player Props to Watch
Ronald Acuña Jr. (Braves) – Hits + Runs + RBIs Total: 2.5
Acuña has been red-hot in September, averaging 1.8 RBIs per game in his last 10. A great candidate to go over, especially with Pirates starter Quinn Priester’s 5.12 ERA.
Bryan Reynolds (Pirates) – Total Bases: 1.5
Reynolds has recorded hits in 9 of his last 10 games and could be undervalued in a sneaky spot against a depleted Braves rotation.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Braves -1.5 → Atlanta still has something to play for and has dominated at home.
Total: Over 8.5 → The Braves’ offense is explosive, and the Pirates have been swinging better bats lately.
Player Prop: Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs → A must-win game gets their MVP going early and often.
Final Score Prediction: Braves 7, Pirates 3