Game Details:
Matchup: Yankees vs Braves
Date & Time: Sunday, July 20, 2025 | 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Betting Line: Braves -135 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
Yankees Seek Post-All-Star Surge
Coming off the All-Star break, the Yankees (54-44) are looking to keep pace in the AL East as they sit just a few games behind the division-leading Orioles. Despite some wobbly form to close the first half, New York enters Sunday’s clash with renewed energy after taking Saturday’s series opener in a tight 5-3 win backed by strong bullpen performances.
Braves Battling Injury Bug and Inconsistencies
The Braves (58-39) remain atop the NL East but face questions heading into the second half. Atlanta dropped 4 of their last 6 games before the break and started off the weekend series slowly with a home loss. With both offense and pitching depth being tested due to injuries, manager Brian Snitker will be looking to regroup against a playoff-caliber Yankees team.
Injury Report
Yankees:
Out: Anthony Rizzo (forearm), Clarke Schmidt (lat strain), Jasson Dominguez (elbow recovery)
Questionable: Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring), Tommy Kahnle (shoulder)
Braves:
Out: Ronald Acuña Jr. (ACL – season), Sean Murphy (thumb), Ian Anderson (elbow)
Questionable: Max Fried (tightness, likely to start)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Yankees: 48-50 ATS
Braves: 44-53 ATS
Over/Under Trends:
The Yankees have hit the over in 26 of their 49 road games this season
The Braves have gone over the total in 29 of their 51 home games
Pitching Matchup
Yankees: Luis Gil (9-4, 3.24 ERA)
Braves: Max Fried (6-3, 3.11 ERA, probable)
Gil has emerged as one of the Yankees’ most reliable starters, but this will be a tough test in a hitter-friendly park. Fried’s status was questionable throughout the week, but the left-hander is slated to return for the series finale. If he’s fully healthy, he gives the Braves a big edge against a righty-heavy Yankees lineup that has struggled against top-tier southpaws.
Player Prop to Watch
Aaron Judge (Yankees) – Home Run Prop: The slugger has 33 homers on the season and went deep on Saturday. Against a left-handed starter, Judge is a strong play to go yard again.
Ozzie Albies (Braves) – Hits+Runs+RBIs: With Acuña out, Albies has stepped up as a consistent bat. He’s driven in five runs over his last five games and remains a key contributor at home.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Braves -1.5 → With Max Fried returning and the Braves needing a bounce-back, Atlanta is set up for a strong showing at home.
Total: Under 8.5 → Both teams feature quality starting pitching, and injuries on both sides may keep the run total in check.
Player Prop: Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+350) → Good matchup vs Fried if he’s not at 100%.
Despite Saturday’s loss, the Braves remain a tough out at home and should respond with their ace on the mound. Expect a close, low-scoring contest with the reigning NL East champs edging it late.
Final Score Prediction: Braves 4, Yankees 3