Game Details:
Matchup: Marlins vs Brewers
Date & Time: Friday, July 25, 2025 | 8:10 PM ET
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Betting Line: Brewers -1.5 | Over/Under: 8.0
Key Storylines
Brewers Battling for Division Supremacy
Milwaukee continues its strong hold near the top of the NL Central standings and enters tonight’s game as a heavy favorite. With a well-rounded roster and dominant pitching rotation, they’ve been one of the best-performing teams in July. This home tilt against struggling Miami represents an opportunity to keep stacking wins.
Marlins Mired in Offensive Slump
The Marlins have had one of the weakest offenses in the league this season, ranking near the bottom in runs per game, team batting average, and slugging. They’ve struggled mightily on the road (10-28 record away from loanDepot park), and facing Milwaukee’s pitching staff is a tough assignment.
Pitching Matchup: Jesús Luzardo (MIA) vs Freddy Peralta (MIL)
Jesús Luzardo is back from a brief IL stint and will make his first start in two weeks. He’s been up and down this season (4.71 ERA, 1.38 WHIP) and could be on a pitch count.
Freddy Peralta, meanwhile, has been lights-out at home, posting a 3.17 ERA at American Family Field and piling up strikeouts. He’s coming off an 11-K performance against the Cubs and should feast on Miami’s punchless lineup.
Injury Report
Marlins:
Out: Jazz Chisholm Jr. (toe), Edward Cabrera (shoulder)
Questionable: Josh Bell (hamstring)
Brewers:
Out: Christian Yelich (back), DL Hall (elbow)
Questionable: Brice Turang (ankle)
Betting Trends
- Against the Spread (ATS):
Marlins: 37-58 ATS
Brewers: 55-42 ATS - Over/Under:
The total has gone under in 7 of Milwaukee’s last 10 games
The total has gone under in 8 of Miami’s last 11 games - Home/Away Splits:
Brewers are 29-17 at home
Marlins are 10-28 on the road
Player Prop to Watch
Freddy Peralta – Strikeouts Total: 7.5
Peralta averages over 11 K/9 and is facing a Marlins team that strikes out among the most in MLB. The over feels like a strong lean, especially with no Jazz Chisholm to anchor Miami’s offense.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Brewers -1.5 → With Peralta starting and Miami’s offense sputtering, Milwaukee should win comfortably.
Total: Under 8.0 → Pitching edge and underwhelming Marlins offense point to a low-scoring affair.
Player Prop: Freddy Peralta Over 7.5 Strikeouts → Attack the favorable matchup.
Expect Milwaukee to control the game from the mound, limit mistakes, and continue their push through the NL Central. Miami’s lack of consistent scoring punch makes it challenging to back them, even as a potential underdog value. This is a solid spot for Brewers backers across the board.
Final Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Marlins 2