Game Details:
Matchup: Knicks vs. Bucks
Date & Time: Friday, March 28, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Betting Line: Bucks -4.5 | Over/Under: 223.0

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications Loom Large

Both squads are locked in a tight Eastern Conference playoff race. The Bucks come into this contest sitting 2nd in the East while the Knicks trail not far behind in the 4th seed. With just under a month to go in the regular season, every game matters, and this one offers potential seeding implications.

Home-Court Edge for Milwaukee

Milwaukee is a dominant 27-9 at home this season and will be looking to keep that trend alive tonight. The Bucks got the better of the Knicks in their previous two meetings, including a 122-108 win in early January behind Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 32 points and 12 rebounds.

Knicks Looking for Consistency

The Knicks have battled inconsistencies, particularly on offense. While Jalen Brunson has been a steady force, their reliance on half-court sets and slower pace could put them at a disadvantage against Milwaukee’s faster tempo. They’ll need RJ Barrett and Julius Randle to show up big to stand a chance on the road.

Injury Report

Knicks:
Out: Mitchell Robinson (ankle), Donte DiVincenzo (hamstring)
Questionable: OG Anunoby (elbow)

Bucks:
Out: Khris Middleton (wrist)
Probable: Bobby Portis (shoulder)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Knicks: 35-31-2 ATS
Bucks: 32-34-2 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 38 of Milwaukee’s 68 games
The total has gone under in 35 of New York’s 68 games

Head-to-Head:
The Bucks are 2-0 against the Knicks this season, both wins coming by double-digit margins.

Player Prop to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo — Points Total: 28.5
Giannis has averaged 30.5 points in two games vs. New York this season. With Middleton sidelined, the offensive burden increases, making the over a strong play.

Jalen Brunson — Assists Total: 6.5
Brunson has gone over this number in five of his last six games. With the Bucks’ defense likely to focus on limiting his scoring, look for a potential uptick in playmaking opportunities.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Bucks -4.5 → Milwaukee’s dominant home record coupled with Giannis’ matchup advantage gives them the edge.
Total: Over 223.0 → Expect a moderately high-paced game; Milwaukee has consistently hit overs.
Player Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 28.5 points → With Middleton out, Giannis should carry the scoring load.

The Knicks have enough firepower to stay competitive, but without Mitchell Robinson and possibly Anunoby, they’re outmatched in the paint. Expect Milwaukee to build separation in the second half led by Giannis and a strong supporting bench.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks 117, Knicks 109