Game Details:
Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Date & Time: Friday, April 25, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Betting Line: Bucks -5.5 | Over/Under: 235.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications: With both teams jockeying for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference, this matchup could significantly impact potential first-round seedings. The Bucks currently hold a slight edge in the standings, but the Pacers are right on their heels.

Season Series Recap: This is the final regular season matchup between the two teams. The Pacers have surprisingly taken 3 of the first 4 meetings, utilizing their fast-paced offense to outpace Milwaukee. That gives tonight’s game an added revenge factor for the Bucks on home court.

Giannis vs. Haliburton: Two All-Stars will be front and center. Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to dominate averaging 28.9 points and 11.3 rebounds per game, while Tyrese Haliburton leads Indiana with 21.7 points and 10.4 assists per contest. Expect a battle of pace versus poise.

Injury Report

Indiana:
Questionable: Bennedict Mathurin (elbow), Aaron Nesmith (ankle)
Out: Jalen Smith (knee)

Milwaukee:
Doubtful: Khris Middleton (hamstring)
Out: Bobby Portis (wrist)

Betting Trends

• Against the Spread (ATS):
  Pacers: 35-32 ATS this season
  Bucks: 31-34 ATS this season
• Over/Under Trends:
  The over has hit in 37 of Indiana’s 67 games
  Milwaukee has gone over the total in 36 of 67 games
• Head-to-Head:
  Pacers are 3-1 ATS vs. Bucks this season

Player Prop to Watch

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 10.5
Haliburton has averaged over 11 assists against Milwaukee this season. The Bucks’ struggles defending the perimeter could provide another high-assist night.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) – Points Total: 29.5
With Middleton hobbled, Giannis’ usage ticks up, making the Over a solid look at home where he’s averaging close to 31 points per game.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Bucks -5.5 → While the Pacers have had Milwaukee’s number, the Bucks will be motivated to finally grab a win in this series, especially at home.

Total: Over 235.5 → Both squads play at a fast pace and rank in the top 10 in offensive rating. Expect a shootout.

Player Prop: Haliburton Over 10.5 assists → His playmaking has consistently torched Milwaukee’s backcourt.

Look for the Bucks to lean heavily on Giannis, especially if Middleton sits. Indiana’s depth gives them a chance to keep it close, but home court and a revenge narrative favor the Bucks. Expect fireworks and value on points props and the over.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks 123, Pacers 117