Game Details:
Matchup: Pistons (17-63) vs. Bucks (52-28)
Date & Time: Saturday, April 12, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Betting Line: Bucks -15.5 | Over/Under: 222.5

Key Storylines

Bucks Eyeing Playoff Momentum: The Bucks have locked in a playoff spot, but are still vying for favorable postseason seeding. Expect Milwaukee to play its stars limited minutes, but still aim for a strong showing at home in their final regular season game.

Pistons Winding Down a Tough Season: It’s been another rebuilding year for the Pistons, who sit at the bottom of the East with just 17 wins. With most of their focus on developing younger players, Detroit will try to end the season on a competitive note despite the uphill battle tonight.

Recent Form: The Bucks have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with strong performances from Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard. Detroit, meanwhile, has dropped 8 of their last 10, and comes into Milwaukee on a three-game losing streak.

Injury Report

Detroit:
Out: Cade Cunningham (knee), Isaiah Stewart (shoulder), Ausar Thompson (illness)
Questionable: Jaden Ivey (ankle)

Milwaukee:
Out: Malik Beasley (foot), Pat Connaughton (calf)
Questionable: Giannis Antetokounmpo (rest), Damian Lillard (rest)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Pistons: 30-48-2 ATS
Bucks: 39-39-2 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 6 of the last 10 Bucks games
The total has gone over in 7 of the last 10 Pistons games

Bucks at Home:
Milwaukee holds a strong 30-10 home record, and has covered in 60% of those games when favored by double digits.

Player Prop to Watch

Bobby Portis (Bucks) – Rebounds Total: 9.5
With Giannis possibly resting, Portis could see increased minutes and an uptick in rebounding opportunities against a smaller Detroit frontcourt.

Jaden Ivey (Pistons) – Points Total: 17.5
Ivey has averaged 18.3 points over his last five games and could be the focal point of Detroit’s offense if he plays tonight.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Bucks -15.5 → Even if key stars sit, their supporting cast should be strong enough to cover.

Total: Over 222.5 → The Pistons’ leaky defense and fast-paced tempo should push the total over, especially if both teams play loose in a pressure-free finale.

Player Prop: Bobby Portis Over 9.5 rebounds → A strong spot for Portis to shine in an expanded role.

Milwaukee should coast through this one, using their depth to outclass a depleted Pistons roster. While Detroit may hang around early, the Bucks’ overall shooting and interior physicality will likely separate them in the second half.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks 120, Pistons 102