Matchup: Timberwolves (48-27) vs. Bucks (50-25)

Date & Time: Monday, April 7, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

Betting Line: Bucks -4.5 | Over/Under: 222.5

Key Storylines

Top-Tier Battle with Playoff Implications

The Timberwolves and Bucks square off in a potential NBA Finals preview as both teams look to fine-tune their rotations heading into the playoffs. The Bucks are currently fighting for the top seed in the East, while the Timberwolves are jockeying for home-court advantage in the ultra-competitive Western Conference.

Antetokounmpo vs. Towns and Edwards

Giannis Antetokounmpo continues his MVP-caliber season, averaging 30.8 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 6.3 assists. He’ll face a tough frontcourt test against Karl-Anthony Towns and rising star Anthony Edwards, who have propelled Minnesota to elite status this season.

Timberwolves Road Form vs. Bucks Home Dominance

The Timberwolves have been solid on the road (22-16), but they’ll run into a Bucks squad that thrives at home with a 29-9 record at Fiserv Forum. Milwaukee’s perimeter shooting and trademark defensive efficiency will be key against a physical and athletic Wolves team.

Injury Report

Timberwolves:
Out: Jaden McDaniels (ankle)
Questionable: Rudy Gobert (back tightness)

Bucks:
Out: Bobby Portis (knee)
Questionable: Khris Middleton (wrist)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Timberwolves: 41-34 ATS
Bucks: 36-37-2 ATS

Over/Under Trends:

Total has gone under in 7 of the last 10 Timberwolves games
Total has gone over in 6 of the Bucks’ last 10 games

Milwaukee’s Home Edge:

Bucks are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 home games
Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 visits to Milwaukee

Player Props to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo – Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA): 45.5
With Middleton potentially limited or out, expect Giannis to post another monster stat line upstream of his season averages.

Anthony Edwards – Points Total: 24.5
Edwards has eclipsed the 25-point mark in three of his last five games and remains the focal point of Minnesota’s offense.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Bucks -4.5 → Milwaukee’s home consistency and playoff urgency make them a strong bet to cover.

Total: Under 222.5 → With both teams ranking in the top 10 in defensive efficiency, we expect a slower, playoff-style tempo.

Player Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 45.5 PRA → Expect a statement game from the Greek Freak as playoff seeding tightens.

This highly anticipated matchup has all the elements of a physical war between two elite teams. Despite the Timberwolves’ strong season, the Bucks’ home-court dominance and playoff urgency should give them the edge in what could be a gritty, low-scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks 109, Timberwolves 102