Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks: Betting Preview & Prediction

Game Details:

Matchup: Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks

Date & Time: Wednesday, March 12, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET

Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

Betting Line: Hawks -8.5 | Over/Under: 228.5

Key Storylines

Hawks Surging in Playoff Race

Atlanta has been on a roll lately, winning seven of their last ten games as they push for a higher playoff seed. With Trae Young orchestrating the offense and the team improving defensively, the Hawks look to capitalize on a struggling Hornets squad.

Hornets’ Road Woes

Charlotte has had a tough time away from home, sporting one of the worst road records in the NBA this season. Their defense has been a major issue, ranking near the bottom in defensive efficiency.

Injury Concerns for Both Teams

The Hornets are dealing with multiple injuries, making their depth an issue, whereas Atlanta could be without a key rotation piece.

Injury Report

Charlotte Hornets:

• Out: LaMelo Ball (ankle), Mark Williams (back)

Atlanta Hawks:

• Questionable: De’Andre Hunter (knee)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Hornets: 26-35-2 ATS this season

Hawks: 33-30 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone over in 34 of 63 Hornets games this season

The total has gone over in 32 of 63 Hawks games this season

Player Prop to Watch

Trae Young (Hawks) – Points Total: 26.5

Young has been red-hot, averaging 28 points in his last five games. Given Charlotte’s defensive struggles, taking the over on his points might be a smart bet.

Brandon Miller (Hornets) – Points Total: 18.5

With LaMelo out, Miller will have an increased offensive role. Expect him to take plenty of shots, making the over an interesting play.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Hawks -8.5 → Atlanta is the better team and should cover at home.

Total: Over 228.5 → Both teams tend to play at a fast pace, and defense is suspect on both ends.

Player Prop: Trae Young Over 26.5 points → He thrives against weaker defenses.

Charlotte’s injuries and defensive struggles make it difficult to see them keeping up. Expect Atlanta to control the game from start to finish, covering the spread in a high-scoring affair.

Final Score Prediction: Hawks 122, Hornets 109