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Cavaliers vs Grizzlies Edge Pick | Vegas Mistake

Mar 14, 2025

Game Details:

Matchup: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Date & Time: Friday, March 14, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET

Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Betting Line: Cavaliers -4.5 | Over/Under: 226.5

Key Storylines

Can the Cavaliers Keep Rolling?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been one of the most consistent teams in the Eastern Conference this season, building momentum heading into the playoffs. With their defense anchoring them and Donovan Mitchell leading the charge, they come into Memphis as the favorites to secure a road victory.

Memphis Seeking Strong Finish to Disappointing Season

The Memphis Grizzlies have struggled with injuries and inconsistency throughout the season. Ja Morant’s absence for most of the campaign has hampered their chances of contending, but they’ll look to play spoiler tonight against a tough Cavaliers squad. Young standouts like Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. will need big performances to pull off an upset.

Injury Report

Cleveland Cavaliers:

Out: Ricky Rubio (personal), Evan Mobley (ankle)

Questionable: Caris LeVert (knee soreness)

Memphis Grizzlies:

Out: Ja Morant (shoulder), Marcus Smart (foot), Brandon Clarke (Achilles)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Cavaliers: 36-28 ATS this season

Grizzlies: 29-35 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone under in 34 of Cleveland’s 64 games

The total has gone over in 31 of Memphis’s 64 games

Home vs. Road Performance:

Cavaliers are 18-14 on the road this season

Grizzlies are 11-22 at home

Player Prop to Watch

Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) – Points Total: 28.5

Mitchell has been on fire lately, averaging 30+ points over his last five games. Given Memphis’s defensive struggles, the over on his points prop is an intriguing play.

Jaren Jackson Jr. (Grizzlies) – Blocks Total: 2.5

With Mobley out, Jackson Jr. could have a stronger presence in the paint. Expect him to make an impact defensively.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Cleveland -4.5 → The Cavaliers’ defense and overall depth should give them an edge on the road.

Total: Under 226.5 → Cleveland’s slower pace and defensive focus could lead to a lower-scoring game.

Player Prop: Donovan Mitchell Over 28.5 points → He’s in great form and should take advantage of Memphis’s depleted lineup.

The Grizzlies will put up a fight, but Cleveland’s superior roster and defensive efficiency should carry them to a solid victory.

Final Score Prediction: Cavaliers 112, Grizzlies 102

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