Game Details:
Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs. Indiana Pacers
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 19, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Betting Line: Pacers -2.5 | Over/Under: 235.5
Key Storylines
Dallas’ Playoff Push
The Mavericks are fighting for playoff positioning in the Western Conference, making every game crucial down the stretch. Led by Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving, Dallas is a dangerous team that can win on any given night.
Pacers’ Home Dominance
Indiana has been strong at Gainbridge Fieldhouse this season, boasting one of the better home records in the Eastern Conference. Led by Tyrese Haliburton, the Pacers will look to capitalize on home-court advantage.
Pace and Scoring
Both teams rank in the top 10 in offensive efficiency and pace, making for what could be a high-scoring shootout. The total of 235.5 reflects the expectation of a fast-paced game.
Injury Report
Dallas Mavericks:
Out: Dereck Lively II (ankle), Maxi Kleber (hamstring)
Questionable: Tim Hardaway Jr. (illness)
Indiana Pacers:
Out: Andrew Nembhard (knee), Jalen Smith (concussion)
Questionable: Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Mavericks: 35-30 ATS this season
Pacers: 32-33 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 36 of Dallas’ 65 games
The total has gone over in 38 of Indiana’s 65 games
Player Prop to Watch
Luka Dončić (Mavericks) – Points Total: 30.5
Dončić has been on a scoring tear, and given Indiana’s struggles defensively, he’s a strong candidate to go over his points prop.
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 9.5
As the primary playmaker for Indiana, Haliburton should have plenty of opportunities to rack up assists in what projects to be a high-scoring game.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Mavericks +2.5 → Dallas’ offensive firepower gives them a good chance to win outright.
Total: Over 235.5 → Two fast-paced teams with elite scorers should push the total over.
Player Prop: Luka Dončić Over 30.5 points → He’ll put up big numbers in a high-scoring contest.
The Pacers are tough at home, but the Mavericks’ ability to close out games with superstar talent gives them the edge. Expect a tight battle with Dallas emerging victorious late.
Final Score Prediction: Mavericks 124, Pacers 118