Game Details:
Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 12, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas
Betting Line: Mavericks -5 | Over/Under: 227.5
Key Storylines
Dallas Looks to Continue Strong Playoff Push
The Dallas Mavericks come into tonight’s game riding a strong stretch, pushing for better playoff seeding in the Western Conference. Luka Dončić has been in MVP-caliber form, and Kyrie Irving continues to provide significant scoring support. Dallas enters this matchup having won six of their last eight games, making them a tough opponent for the struggling Spurs.
San Antonio’s Young Core Developing
While the Spurs are in the midst of a rebuilding season, Victor Wembanyama is emerging as one of the most exciting young stars in the NBA. The rookie big man has been putting up dominant numbers on both ends of the floor, and his development remains a key focus for the Spurs. However, with the team struggling defensively and ranking in the bottom five in defensive efficiency, they will have their hands full against the Mavericks’ high-powered offense.
Season Series Update
Dallas has won both previous matchups against San Antonio this season, including a decisive 121-108 victory in their last meeting. The Mavericks have consistently exploited the Spurs’ defensive weaknesses, and expect similar tactics tonight.
Injury Report
Dallas Mavericks:
- Questionable: Derrick Jones Jr. (ankle)
- Out: Maxi Kleber (hamstring)
San Antonio Spurs:
- Questionable: Devin Vassell (knee)
- Out: Zach Collins (foot)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
- Mavericks: 34-28 ATS this season
- Spurs: 26-36 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
- The total has gone over in 35 of Dallas’ 62 games
- The total has gone over in 33 of San Antonio’s 62 games
Home/Away Trends:
- Dallas is 17-14 on the road this season
- San Antonio is just 10-22 at home
Player Prop to Watch
Luka Dončić – Points Total: 30.5
Dončić has been torching opposing defenses over the last few weeks, averaging 32.8 points over his last five games. With the Spurs struggling to contain star guards, taking the over on his points total is a strong betting option.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Dallas -5 → The Mavericks have been the superior team all season, and with their recent form, they should cover this spread.
Total: Over 227.5 → Both teams have been hitting the over consistently, and Dallas’ offensive firepower should push the total past this number.
Player Prop: Luka Dončić Over 30.5 points → He thrives in fast-paced matchups like this.
While Wembanyama and the young Spurs will fight hard, the Mavericks’ experience and offensive efficiency should lead them to another win in this series.
Final Score Prediction: Mavericks