Game Details:
Matchup: Thunder vs. Grizzlies
Date & Time: Thursday, April 24, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Betting Line: Thunder -8.5 | Over/Under: 222.5

Key Storylines

Thunder Eye Strong Finish

With the regular season winding down, Thunder are looking to solidify their playoff credentials. Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and rising star Chet Holmgren, Thunder have won 7 of their last 9 games and are pushing for a top seed in the West.

Grizzlies’ Youth Movement

Grizzlies have shifted focus to development after a season plagued by injuries. With Ja Morant sidelined for the season and Jaren Jackson Jr. in and out of the lineup, Memphis is leaning heavily on young talent like GG Jackson and Vince Williams Jr. They’re currently on a 4-game losing streak and sit near the bottom of the standings.

Injury Report

Thunder:
Out: Luguentz Dort (ankle), Kenrich Williams (back)

Grizzlies:
Out: Ja Morant (shoulder), Desmond Bane (knee), Marcus Smart (foot), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Derrick Rose (back)
Questionable: Jaren Jackson Jr. (hip)

Betting Trends

• Thunder ATS: 41-28-2 this season
• Grizzlies ATS: 28-43-1 this season
• Thunder O/U: Over has hit in 36 of 71 games
• Grizzlies O/U: Under has hit in 39 of 72 games

Home Woes for Memphis

Grizzlies are just 11-26 at home this season, and their depleted roster faces a tall order against the high-powered Thunder offense. Memphis has struggled to score consistently, ranking near the bottom of the league in offensive rating.

Player Prop to Watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Points Total: 28.5
Shai dropped 33 in his last outing and is averaging 30.7 PPG this season. With Memphis down several key perimeter defenders, the over on SGA’s points prop is strong value.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder -8.5 → Thunder are in playoff form and should dominate a shorthanded Grizzlies squad.

Total: Under 222.5 → With Memphis offensively limited and Thunder capable defensively, the under is appealing.

Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points → He’s been elite and faces an exploitable Memphis backcourt.

Memphis simply doesn’t have enough firepower or experience to keep up with a surging Thunder lineup. Expect a lopsided affair in favor of the visitors.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 114, Grizzlies 99