Game Details:
Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Date & Time: Saturday, April 26, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Betting Line: Thunder -7.5 | Over/Under: 222.5

Key Storylines

Thunder Eye Playoff Seeding: Oklahoma City has been surging down the stretch and their postseason position is on the line. A win in Memphis would secure them a favorable seed, so expect a focused performance.

Grizzlies Short-Handed: Injuries have ravaged the Grizzlies’ roster this season, and they enter tonight’s game extremely undermanned. Memphis will lean heavily on young players and two-way contracts to fill rotations.

Thunder’s Road Success: Oklahoma City boasts a strong road record and has won four straight away games. Given Memphis’ struggles at FedExForum this year, OKC could be poised for another convincing win.

Injury Report

Oklahoma City Thunder:
Out: Gordon Hayward (calf)
Questionable: Chet Holmgren (ankle)

Memphis Grizzlies:
Out: Ja Morant (shoulder), Desmond Bane (back), Jaren Jackson Jr. (quad), Marcus Smart (foot), Brandon Clarke (heel)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Thunder: 41-32 ATS this season
Grizzlies: 30-43 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 5 of the last 7 Thunder games.
The total has gone under in 6 of the last 8 Grizzlies games.

Road Warriors:
Thunder are 23-15 in road games this season.
Grizzlies have struggled at home with a 14-24 record.

Player Prop to Watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Points Total: 28.5
SGA has averaged 30+ points over his last five games. Given Memphis’ depleted defense, taking the over on his points prop could be a smart play.

GG Jackson (Grizzlies) – Points Total: 17.5
With so many starters out, expect Jackson to shoulder a major offensive load again. He’s cleared this number in four of his last six games.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder -7.5 → Oklahoma City has every reason to dominate a depleted Grizzlies squad.

Total: Under 222.5 → Both teams trend under and Memphis may struggle to put up big points offensively.

Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points → In a game where he should feast on a weak defense, SGA is a strong bet to lead OKC to victory.

Memphis simply doesn’t have the firepower or depth right now to compete with a locked-in Thunder squad preparing for the playoffs. Expect OKC to control this game from start to finish.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 114, Grizzlies 98