Game Details:
Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Date & Time: Tuesday, June 24, 2025 | 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Betting Line: Guardians -1.5 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
Blue Jays Seeking Series Momentum
Toronto enters Tuesday’s matchup looking to find consistency in a season marked by highs and lows. After climbing back to .500 last week, a recent slide has the Blue Jays in a tight Wild Card race. With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. heating up at the plate and the return of Kevin Gausman providing a boost to the rotation, Toronto is hoping to find traction in Cleveland.
Guardians Rolling at Home
The Guardians continue to surprise in the AL Central, holding a slim lead over the Twins and Royals. Cleveland has won 8 of its last 10 at home and continues to put up strong pitching performances. Triston McKenzie is expected to get the start Tuesday, boasting a 3.47 ERA and proving to be a reliable option in the rotation.
Pitching Matchup: Kevin Gausman vs. Triston McKenzie
Tuesday’s duel on the mound features frontline starters. The veteran Gausman comes in with a 4.02 ERA but has looked more effective in his recent outings. McKenzie, meanwhile, is enjoying one of his best seasons, limiting opponents to a .211 batting average and sporting a 1.08 WHIP.
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays:
Out: Yariel Rodríguez (back), Danny Jansen (hand)
Day-to-Day: Bo Bichette (hamstring)
Cleveland Guardians:
Day-to-Day: Steven Kwan (wrist), Josh Naylor (knee)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Blue Jays: 34-40 ATS
Guardians: 43-31 ATS
Home/Away Splits:
Blue Jays: 17-21 on the road
Guardians: 24-12 at home
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 6 of Toronto’s last 8 games.
The total has gone over in 5 of Cleveland’s last 7 games at home.
Player Prop to Watch
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) – Hits + Walks: 1.5
Vlad Jr. has reached base multiple times in 6 of his last 8 games. With McKenzie’s occasional struggles against power righties, the over on this prop looks appealing.
José Ramírez (Guardians) – Total Bases: 2.0
Ramírez is slugging .510 this month and thrives against split-finger fastballs, a key pitch in Gausman’s arsenal. Look for Ramírez to threaten for extra bases.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Guardians -1.5 → Cleveland’s home dominance and solid pitching edge give them the nod here.
Total: Under 8.5 → With both aces on the mound and recent under trends, expect a low-scoring battle.
Player Prop: José Ramírez Over 2.0 Total Bases → One swing could cash this.
If Guerrero and the Jays can cash in early, things could get interesting. But Cleveland’s balanced lineup and success at home make them a safer pick in a game that should lean defensive.
Final Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Blue Jays 2