Game Details:
Matchup: Heat vs. Hawks
Date & Time: Friday, April 18, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET
Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Betting Line: Hawks -1.5 | Over/Under: 221.5

Key Storylines

Play-In Implications: The playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference could hinge on tonight’s result. Both teams have been hovering around the play-in line, making this matchup crucial in the standings.

Trending Teams: The Heat come into Atlanta having won three of their last four games behind strong performances from Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro. The Hawks, meanwhile, are on a two-game skid and will be desperate for a bounce-back effort at home.

Season Series: Atlanta leads the head-to-head 2-1 this season. Their last meeting was a 113-109 win in Miami, where Trae Young dropped 31 points and 11 assists.

Injury Report

Heat:
Out: Duncan Robinson (back), Josh Richardson (shoulder)
Questionable: Jimmy Butler (ankle)

Hawks:
Out: Onyeka Okongwu (toe), Saddiq Bey (knee), Kobe Bufkin (wrist)
Questionable: Jalen Johnson (hamstring)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Heat: 32-34-2 ATS
Hawks: 29-38-1 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 37 of Miami’s 68 games this season.
The total has gone over in 39 of Atlanta’s 68 games.

Home Court Matters: Hawks are 21-17 at home while the Heat have gone 18-20 on the road this season. Atlanta’s explosive offense tends to show up better in front of their fans.

Player Props to Watch

Bam Adebayo (Heat) – Points + Rebounds Total: 28.5
Bam has posted double-doubles in three straight games. With Atlanta’s interior depth thin, the over looks appealing.

Trae Young (Hawks) – Assists Total: 9.5
Young remains the engine of Atlanta’s offense. He’s exceeded this number in five of his last seven outings.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Hawks -1.5 → With home-court and the Heat potentially without Butler, Atlanta gets the edge.
Total: Under 221.5 → Miami’s defensive pace and Atlanta’s inconsistency might keep the total lower.
Player Prop: Bam Adebayo Over 28.5 points + rebounds → Too much opportunity against a thin Hawks frontcourt.

If Butler sits out, expect the Heat to lean more on Herro and Adebayo, but the offensive firepower of Young and Bogdanovic at home should prove too much. This one stays close through three quarters before the Hawks pull away in crunch time.

Final Score Prediction: Hawks 109, Heat 102