Game Details:

Matchup: Bulls vs. Heat
Date & Time: Tuesday, April 15, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Betting Line: Heat -4.5 | Over/Under: 217.5

Key Storylines

Play-In Implications

Tonight’s game in Miami carries massive Play-In Tournament implications. Both teams are jostling for playoff position in the Eastern Conference, and with only a few games left in the regular season, every win (and tiebreaker) counts. The Heat currently sit 8th while the Bulls trail closely in the 9th spot, making this matchup critical for home-court advantage in the Play-In.

Season Series on the Line

The Heat and Bulls have split their two previous meetings this season, each taking one win on the road. Tonight’s tiebreaker will determine who takes the season series, which could matter greatly depending on their final seeding positions.

Trending in Opposite Directions

Chicago comes into this matchup riding a three-game win streak, including a convincing 112-98 win over Atlanta, while Miami has stumbled lately, dropping four of their last six games. However, the Heat have been excellent at home this season, boasting a 24-15 record at the Kaseya Center.

Injury Report

Chicago:
Out: Zach LaVine (foot), Patrick Williams (foot)
Questionable: Ayo Dosunmu (ankle)

Miami:
Out: Terry Rozier (neck), Josh Richardson (shoulder)
Questionable: Jimmy Butler (knee), Duncan Robinson (back)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Bulls: 36-38-1 ATS
Heat: 33-40-2 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games
The total has gone under in 6 of the Heat’s last 8 home games

Player Prop to Watch

DeMar DeRozan (Bulls) – Points Total: 23.5
With LaVine out, DeRozan has taken on an even heavier scoring load. He’s averaging 26.4 points over his last five games and will be a focal point again tonight.

Bam Adebayo (Heat) – Rebounds Total: 9.5
Adebayo has been an anchor both offensively and defensively. Against a Bulls team that struggles on the boards, Bam could have a double-digit rebounding night.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Heat -4.5 → Miami’s home-court advantage and playoff urgency should help them edge out a close win, but it won’t be easy against a scrappy Bulls team.

Total: Under 217.5 → Miami’s recent trend in low-scoring home games and potential absences (Butler, Robinson) lead us to favor the under.

Player Prop: DeMar DeRozan Over 23.5 points → With LaVine sidelined, Chicago will lean heavily on DeRozan for shot creation and late-game opportunities.

Expect a gritty, defensive battle as both teams fight for survival. Miami’s experience and slight edge at home could prove decisive.

Final Score Prediction: Heat 106, Bulls 101