Game Details:
Matchup: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat
Date & Time: Monday, April 28, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Betting Line: Heat -3.5 | Over/Under: 214.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications: Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference standings. The Heat have found their rhythm at the right time, while the Cavaliers are trying to maintain momentum amid injury concerns.

Season Series: Miami leads the season series 2-1. Their last meeting saw the Heat pull away in the fourth quarter to secure a 108-99 win in Cleveland.

Miami’s Home Cooking: The Heat are one of the stronger home teams, boasting a 26-13 record at Kaseya Center. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have struggled slightly on the road, going 19-20 away from Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.

Injury Report

Cleveland Cavaliers:
Out: Evan Mobley (ankle), Caris LeVert (knee)
Questionable: Darius Garland (hamstring)

Miami Heat:
Out: Tyler Herro (foot), Josh Richardson (shoulder)
Probable: Bam Adebayo (wrist)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Cavaliers: 32-38-2 ATS this season
Heat: 39-32-1 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 35 of Cleveland’s 72 games
The total has gone under in 37 of Miami’s 72 games

Recent Form:
Cavaliers are 4-6 in their last 10 games, struggling mainly due to defensive lapses.
Heat are 7-3 in their last 10, with Jimmy Butler stepping up as the primary scorer and facilitator.

Player Prop to Watch

Jimmy Butler (Heat) – Points Total: 24.5
With Herro sidelined, Butler has increased his scoring load, averaging 27.2 points over his last five games. The over on his points prop looks appealing.

Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) – Three-Pointers Made: 2.5
Mitchell has been firing from deep lately, and if Garland sits, he may shoulder even more of the offensive burden.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Miami -3.5 → Given their home-court advantage and current form, the Heat are the safer bet to cover the small spread.

Total: Under 214.5 → Miami’s stout defense and Cleveland’s injury issues could result in a lower-scoring affair.

Player Prop: Jimmy Butler Over 24.5 points → Butler will likely lead the scoring charge again with Herro out.

Final Score Prediction: Heat 109, Cavaliers 101