Game Details:
Matchup: Wizards (18-60) vs Heat (43-35)
Date & Time: Saturday, April 12, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Betting Line: Heat -10.5 | Over/Under: 222.5

Key Storylines

Heat Still Fighting for Playoff Positioning

With just a few games left in the regular season, the Heat are locked in a fierce battle for playoff seeding in the Eastern Conference. Sitting in the 6th seed, Miami is trying to avoid the Play-In Tournament and secure a guaranteed postseason spot. Expect maximum effort tonight on their home floor.

Wizards Wrapping Up a Rough Season

The Wizards enter this matchup with one of the league’s worst records and have little to play for outside of player development and draft lottery odds. Still, they’ve been frisky as of late, with some close games against playoff-bound teams. Jordan Poole and Kyle Kuzma will be expected to carry the offense.

Battle of Pace and Defensive Identity

Miami plays a slower, defensive-centric style under Erik Spoelstra, ranking in the bottom five in pace but top ten in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wizards rank top 10 in pace but near the bottom in defensive rating, setting up a clash of styles that could influence the total.

Injury Report

Wizards:
Out: Bilal Coulibaly (wrist), Landry Shamet (calf)
Questionable: Marvin Bagley III (hip)

Heat:
Out: Josh Richardson (shoulder), Duncan Robinson (back)
Questionable: Jimmy Butler (knee) – Game-time decision

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Wizards: 29-47 ATS
Heat: 37-37-4 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 40 of the Wizards’ 78 games
The total has gone under in 42 of the Heat’s 78 games

Player Props to Watch

Jordan Poole (Wizards) – Points Total: 20.5
Poole has been on a scoring tear late in the season and should see high usage again tonight. Consider the over if Butler sits.

Bam Adebayo (Heat) – Rebounds Total: 9.5
Against a smaller Wizards frontcourt, Adebayo could dominate the glass, making the over appealing.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Heat -10.5 → With playoff seeding on the line, expect Miami to take care of business against a tanking Wizards squad.

Total: Under 222.5 → Miami will look to slow things down and lock in defensively, especially if Butler plays.

Player Prop: Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 rebounds → Ideal matchup to hit the boards hard.

The Wizards may come out with energy, but the combination of Miami’s defensive discipline, motivation, and home-court advantage should allow them to pull away late. If Butler is active, the Heat may cover easily. If not, expect a more grind-it-out affair.

Final Score Prediction: Heat 111, Wizards 99