Game Details:

Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Date & Time: Tuesday, March 11, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

Betting Line: Bucks -7.5 | Over/Under: 235.5

Key Storylines

Battle for Playoff Positioning

The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers are locked in a battle for Eastern Conference playoff seeding, making this matchup crucial for both teams. While the Bucks have been dominant at home, the Pacers have proven they can pull off upsets, setting up an intriguing game.

Pacers’ Fast-Paced Offense vs. Bucks’ Interior Defense

Indiana ranks among the top five in pace and scoring this season, led by Tyrese Haliburton’s elite playmaking. The Bucks, on the other hand, have relied on their dominant interior defense anchored by Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez. Slowing down Indiana’s quick-transition offense will be a major key for Milwaukee.

Milwaukee’s Home-Court Advantage

The Bucks have been one of the NBA’s best home teams, boasting an impressive record at Fiserv Forum. Indiana, while dangerous offensively, has struggled on the road, which could give Milwaukee the upper hand in this matchup.

Injury Report

Indiana Pacers:

Out: Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder), Aaron Nesmith (ankle)

Questionable: Obi Toppin (knee)

Milwaukee Bucks:

Out: Khris Middleton (ankle), Patrick Beverley (calf)

Questionable: Bobby Portis (illness)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Pacers: 32-30-1 ATS this season

Bucks: 29-33-1 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone over in 36 of Indiana’s 63 games

The total has gone under in 34 of Milwaukee’s 63 games

Player Prop to Watch

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 9.5
Haliburton has consistently been among the league leaders in assists. With Milwaukee’s focus on defending the paint, expect him to dish out plenty of assists.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) – Points Total: 28.5
With Middleton out, Giannis should see a larger scoring load, making the over on his points prop an interesting option.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Milwaukee -7.5 → The Bucks’ home dominance gives them the edge.

Total: Over 235.5 → Indiana’s pace should push the scoring higher.

Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 assists → High usage in a fast-paced game.

The Pacers’ quick offense should keep them competitive, but the Bucks’ home-court advantage and defensive presence should allow them to cover the spread. Expect a high-scoring affair with Milwaukee pulling away late.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks 123, Pacers 114