Game Details:

Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Date & Time: Saturday, March 15, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

Betting Line: Bucks -7.5 | Over/Under: 236.5

Key Storylines

Pacers Seeking Revenge: The Indiana Pacers have struggled in their recent meetings with the Milwaukee Bucks, losing their last two matchups. Can they turn the tide on the road?

Giannis vs. Haliburton: This game features a marquee matchup between Bucks superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo and Pacers rising star Tyrese Haliburton. Expect both to play key roles in determining the game’s outcome.

Bucks Dominating at Home: Milwaukee owns one of the best home records in the NBA this season and will look to continue their dominance at Fiserv Forum.

Indiana’s Defensive Struggles: The Pacers have had difficulty containing elite offensive teams, particularly on the road. Can they tighten up their defense against one of the NBA’s most potent offenses?

Injury Report

Indiana Pacers:

Out: Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder), Jalen Smith (ankle)

Questionable: Andrew Nembhard (knee)

Milwaukee Bucks:

Out: Khris Middleton (knee), Bobby Portis (back)

Questionable: Pat Connaughton (day-to-day)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Pacers: 31-30 ATS this season
Bucks: 34-27 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone over in 40 of Indiana’s 61 games.

The total has gone over in 38 of Milwaukee’s 61 games.

Bucks Home Dominance:

Milwaukee boasts a 26-5 record at home this season.

Indiana has struggled on the road, with a 15-18 away record.

Player Prop to Watch

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 9.5

Haliburton remains the heartbeat of Indiana’s offense, averaging over 10 assists per game. Given Milwaukee’s defensive approach, taking the over on his assists total could be a solid bet.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) – Points Total: 29.5

With Khris Middleton out, Giannis will carry even more of the scoring load. The over on his points total is worth considering.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Milwaukee -7.5 → The Bucks’ home dominance makes them the safer pick in this matchup.

Total: Over 236.5 → Both teams have a tendency to hit the over, making this a strong play.

Player Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 points → With Middleton sidelined, expect an aggressive scoring night from Giannis.

The Pacers will keep this competitive, but Milwaukee’s firepower and home-court advantage should allow them to pull away late.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks 124, Pacers 115