Game Details:

Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Date & Time: Tuesday, March 18, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Betting Line: Timberwolves -4.5 | Over/Under: 226.5

Key Storylines

Pacers Look to Stay Hot

Indiana has been playing solid basketball as of late, winning six of their last eight games. Led by star guard Tyrese Haliburton’s playmaking and Myles Turner’s defensive presence, the Pacers are looking to maintain momentum as they take on a juggernaut Timberwolves squad.

Timberwolves’ Home Dominance

Minnesota has been dominant at the Target Center, boasting one of the best home records in the league. Anthony Edwards continues to elevate his game, proving himself as a true superstar, while Rudy Gobert anchors an elite defensive unit.

Battle of Fast-Paced Offenses

Both teams thrive on pushing the pace. The Pacers rank among the league’s fastest teams in transition offense, while the Timberwolves excel at capitalizing on defensive stops to create scoring opportunities. This could result in an exciting, high-scoring affair.

Injury Report

Indiana Pacers:

Questionable: Bennedict Mathurin (ankle), Jalen Smith (knee)

Minnesota Timberwolves:

Out: Karl-Anthony Towns (knee)

Questionable: Mike Conley (hamstring)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Pacers: 34-30-2 ATS this season

Timberwolves: 38-28 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

Total Over Trends:

The total has gone over in 35 of Indiana’s 64 games

The total has gone under in 37 of Minnesota’s 64 games

Pacers’ Road Struggles:

Indiana has a 16-17 record on the road this season, while Minnesota is a dominant 23-8 at home.

Player Prop to Watch

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Points Total: 27.5

With Karl-Anthony Towns out, Edwards takes on an even bigger scoring role. The over on his points total is an appealing bet.

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 10.5

Haliburton has consistently been one of the NBA’s top assist leaders, making an over bet on his assists a strong consideration.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Minnesota -4.5 → The Timberwolves’ home dominance should help them cover.

Total: Over 226.5 → Both teams love to push the pace, resulting in a high-scoring game.

Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 points → Increased scoring load without Towns.

The Pacers are playing well, but the Timberwolves’ home-court advantage and defensive edge should be enough to secure a win. Expect a competitive game with Minnesota pulling away late.

Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves 118, Pacers 110