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Knicks vs Mavericks Betting Preview & Prediction | VegasMistake

Mar 25, 2025

Game Details:

Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs. Knicks
Date & Time: Tuesday, March 25, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Betting Line: Knicks -2.5 | Over/Under: 224.5

Key Storylines

Two Playoff Contenders Collide

Both the Mavericks and Knicks are in the thick of the playoff race, making this a crucial showdown. The Mavericks enter with a strong road presence, while the Knicks have defended home court well throughout the season.

Luka’s Magic vs. Brunson’s Revenge

All eyes will be on Luka Dončić as he leads the Mavericks into Madison Square Garden. Meanwhile, Jalen Brunson will once again take on his former team, continuing his personal rivalry against Dallas. Brunson has shined in past meetings, averaging 28+ points against the Mavericks since joining New York.

Knicks Battling Injuries

New York has dealt with injuries to key starters throughout the season. The availability of Julius Randle and OG Anunoby will be pivotal in determining how competitive they can be against a high-scoring Mavericks squad.

Injury Report

Dallas Mavericks:
Out: Maxi Kleber (foot)
Questionable: Tim Hardaway Jr. (illness)

Knicks:
Out: Mitchell Robinson (ankle), Bojan Bogdanović (knee)
Questionable: Julius Randle (shoulder), OG Anunoby (elbow)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

  • Mavericks: 35-30 ATS this season
  • Knicks: 33-31 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

  • The total has gone over in 37 of Dallas’s 65 games
  • The total has gone under in 34 of New York’s 64 games

The Knicks tend to play at a slower pace and emphasize defense, while the Mavericks thrive in a high-paced, offensive-heavy system.

Player Prop to Watch

Luka Dončić – Points + Assists: 42.5
Dončić is averaging close to 31 points and 9 assists per game this season. Against a depleted Knicks lineup, he could have another big night.

Jalen Brunson – Points Total: 26.5
Facing his old team, Brunson has historically performed well against Dallas. If Randle sits, his scoring output could increase.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Mavericks +2.5 → Dallas has been stellar as a road underdog this season.
Total: Over 224.5 → The Mavericks’ pace could push the total above the number.
Player Prop: Luka Dončić Over 42.5 Points + Assists → Expect a big game from Luka.

The Knicks’ injuries could determine their fate. If Randle and Anunoby play, New York has a strong chance to hold down home court, but if they’re limited or ruled out, Dallas’ firepower might be too much to handle.

Final Score Prediction: Mavericks 116, Knicks 110

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