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Clippers vs Hawks Expert Pick of the Week | Vegas Mistake

Mar 14, 2025

Game Details:

Matchup: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Date & Time: Friday, March 14, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET

Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

Betting Line: Clippers -3.5 | Over/Under: 227.5

Key Storylines

Clippers Fighting for Playoff Positioning

The Los Angeles Clippers are in the thick of a competitive Western Conference playoff race, making every game crucial as the season winds down. With Kawhi Leonard and Paul George leading the charge, they’ll aim to make a statement on the road.

Hawks’ Home-Court Advantage

Atlanta has been strong at home this season, boasting an above .500 record at State Farm Arena. With Trae Young directing the offense, the Hawks will look to take advantage of the visiting Clippers, who have struggled in certain road matchups.

Defensive Battle or Offensive Shootout?

The Clippers rank among the league’s top defensive teams, while the Hawks thrive on their high-paced offense led by Young and Dejounte Murray. The contrasting styles will make for an intriguing matchup, as the game’s tempo could dictate the winner.

Injury Report

Los Angeles Clippers:

Out: Ivica Zubac (knee), Terance Mann (ankle)
Questionable: James Harden (hamstring)

Atlanta Hawks:

Out: Onyeka Okongwu (foot), Saddiq Bey (ACL)
Questionable: De’Andre Hunter (day-to-day)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Clippers: 35-27 ATS this season
Hawks: 29-31 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone over in 34 of the Clippers’ 62 games.
The total has gone over in 37 of the Hawks’ 62 games.

Home and Away Performance:

Clippers are 16-13 on the road this season.
Hawks are 19-14 at home this season.

Player Prop to Watch

Trae Young (Hawks) – Assists Total: 9.5
Young has averaged 10.2 assists in his last five home games, making the over on his prop worth considering.

Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) – Points Total: 26.5
Leonard has been in strong scoring form, making him a key factor in the Clippers’ playoff push.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Clippers -3.5 → With the Hawks missing key frontcourt players, Los Angeles should have an edge.

Total: Over 227.5 → Both teams have been trending toward high-scoring games.

Player Prop: Trae Young Over 9.5 assists → Young’s ability to distribute at home makes this a strong bet.

This game could come down to execution in the final minutes, but the Clippers have the veteran leadership and defensive presence to outlast the Hawks in a tightly contested battle.

Final Score Prediction: Clippers 118, Hawks 111

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