Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings: Betting Preview & Prediction

Game Details:

Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings

Date & Time: Monday, March 17, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

Betting Line: Kings -4.5 | Over/Under: 225.5

Key Storylines

Kings Pushing for Playoff Position: Sacramento is battling for postseason positioning in the Western Conference and will look to secure a critical home victory against a struggling Grizzlies squad.

Grizzlies’ Road Woes: Memphis has struggled on the road this season, winning just a fraction of their away games. They will need a strong defensive showing to slow down Sacramento’s fast-paced attack.

Ja Morant’s Absence: The Grizzlies are still without star guard Ja Morant due to injury, impacting their offensive capabilities significantly.

Injury Report

Memphis Grizzlies:

Out: Ja Morant (shoulder), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Marcus Smart (leg)

Questionable: Desmond Bane (ankle)

Sacramento Kings:

Out: Kevin Huerter (shoulder), Trey Lyles (knee)

Questionable: De’Aaron Fox (hip)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Grizzlies: 28-35 ATS this season

Kings: 34-29 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

– The total has gone over in 32 of Memphis’ 63 games this season.

– The total has gone over in 34 of Sacramento’s 63 games this season.

Player Prop to Watch

Domantas Sabonis (Kings) – Points + Rebounds Total: 32.5

Sabonis has been a dominant force in the paint and could exploit Memphis’ frontcourt struggles.

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies) – Points Total: 23.5

If Bane plays, he will need to carry the offensive load for the Grizzlies.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Sacramento -4.5 → The Kings have the home-court advantage and more offensive firepower.

Total: Over 225.5 → Both teams have trended toward the over.

Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis Over 32.5 Points + Rebounds → Favorable matchup in the paint.

Memphis will need a near-flawless performance to compete with Sacramento, especially if Fox is able to play. Expect the Kings to control the pace and pull away late.

Final Score Prediction: Kings 118, Grizzlies 109