Game Details:

Matchup: Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Date & Time: Saturday, March 15, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET

Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Betting Line: Memphis -2.5 | Over/Under: 217.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Push for Miami

The Miami Heat continue their battle for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference. Currently sitting in the middle of the standings, every game matters down the stretch, and they’ll need a strong effort on the road to secure a win.

Grizzlies Fighting for Pride

The Memphis Grizzlies have dealt with numerous injuries this season, dampening their playoff hopes. However, they remain a scrappy team that plays hard at home, looking to finish strong despite their struggles.

Jimmy Butler vs. Ja Morant

This matchup could come down to star performances. Jimmy Butler has been the Heat’s leader all season, consistently delivering in clutch moments. Meanwhile, Ja Morant has returned to form for the Grizzlies, showcasing his electrifying playmaking and scoring ability.

Injury Report

Miami Heat:

• Out: Tyler Herro (knee), Duncan Robinson (ankle)
• Questionable: Bam Adebayo (day-to-day, ankle)

Memphis Grizzlies:

• Out: Steven Adams (knee), Desmond Bane (wrist)
• Questionable: Jaren Jackson Jr. (hamstring)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Miami Heat: 34-30 ATS this season

Memphis Grizzlies: 28-36 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone under in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games.

The total has gone under in 7 of Memphis’ last 10 games.

Miami On the Road:

The Heat are 16-15 in away games this season.

Memphis struggles at home with an 11-21 record at FedExForum.

Player Prop to Watch

Ja Morant (Grizzlies) – Points Total: 26.5

As the focal point of Memphis’ offense, Morant will be tasked with carrying the scoring load. If Bam Adebayo is out, Morant will have even more opportunities to drive to the rim.

Jimmy Butler (Heat) – Points Total: 24.5

Butler has been stepping up in critical games, making the over on his points prop worth considering.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Miami +2.5 → The Heat’s defense and Butler’s leadership give them a good shot to edge past Memphis.

Total: Under 217.5 → Both teams have been trending toward lower-scoring games.

Player Prop: Ja Morant Over 26.5 points → High usage rate makes this a solid play.

Expect a hard-fought defensive battle where Miami’s experience and slightly better depth give them the edge in the final minutes.

Final Score Prediction: Heat 105, Grizzlies 101