Game Details:

Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 26, 2025 | 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Betting Line: Nuggets -4.5 | Over/Under: 229.5

Key Storylines

Battle of MVP Candidates

This matchup showcases two of the NBA’s top superstars, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Nikola Jokić, both of whom are in the MVP conversation. Their duel in the paint could be the deciding factor in this contest.

Bucks’ Road Struggles

Milwaukee has had difficulties winning consistently on the road, posting a subpar record away from home. Facing one of the best home teams in the Nuggets could be a tough challenge.

Nuggets’ Home Dominance

Denver has been almost unbeatable at Ball Arena this season, boasting a top-tier home record. Their altitude advantage and disciplined team play make them formidable opponents for any visiting team.

Injury Report

Milwaukee Bucks:
Out: Khris Middleton (ankle), Malik Beasley (wrist)
Questionable: Brook Lopez (back)

Denver Nuggets:
Out: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (hamstring)
Probable: Aaron Gordon (shoulder)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Bucks: 31-36 ATS this season
Nuggets: 38-30 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone under in 7 of Milwaukee’s last 10 games.
The total has gone over in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games.

Player Prop to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) – Points Total: 29.5
Giannis remains the focal point of Milwaukee’s offense. With Middleton out, expect him to carry an even larger scoring load.

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets) – Assists Total: 9.5
The reigning MVP could exploit Milwaukee’s defensive schemes by facilitating Denver’s offense, making the over an appealing option.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Nuggets -4.5 → Denver’s home dominance should give them the edge.
Total: Under 229.5 → The Bucks’ defensive tendencies could keep the score lower than expected.
Player Prop: Nikola Jokić Over 9.5 assists → Expect him to control the game’s tempo with his playmaking.

Milwaukee will keep this game competitive behind Giannis’ brilliance, but Denver’s well-rounded attack and altitude advantage should be too much to overcome.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets 115, Bucks 108