Game Details:

Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 26, 2025 | 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Betting Line: Nuggets -4.5 | Over/Under: 228.5

Key Storylines

Battle of MVP Candidates: Giannis vs. Jokic

Two of the league’s premier superstars, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Nikola Jokic, go head-to-head in a matchup that could have significant implications on the MVP race. Jokic continues to dominate with his all-around brilliance, while Giannis remains an unstoppable force on both ends of the court.

Playoff Seeding Implications

With the regular season winding down, both teams are jockeying for prime playoff positioning. The Bucks are looking to lock up a top-three seed in the Eastern Conference, while the Nuggets aim to maintain their lead in the West.

Denver’s Home-Court Dominance

The Nuggets boast one of the best home records in the NBA this season and will try to capitalize on their altitude advantage against a Milwaukee squad that has been shaky on the road.

Injury Report

Milwaukee Bucks:
Out: Khris Middleton (ankle), Bobby Portis (knee)
Questionable: Damian Lillard (groin)

Denver Nuggets:
Out: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (hamstring)
Questionable: Aaron Gordon (shoulder)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Bucks: 31-35 ATS this season
Nuggets: 38-28 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone over in 34 of Milwaukee’s 66 games.
The total has gone under in 36 of Denver’s 66 games.

Bucks’ Road Struggles:

Milwaukee is 16-18 in road games this season, and Denver has a strong home record, making this a tough test for the Bucks.

Player Prop to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) – Points Total: 29.5
Giannis will need to carry an even heavier scoring load if Lillard is unable to suit up. The over on his points prop is worth considering.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) – Assists Total: 8.5
Jokic has been racking up assists at an elite rate, and against a Bucks team that struggles with playmaking bigs, he could easily surpass this number.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Nuggets -4.5 → Denver’s home-court advantage should be the difference.
Total: Under 228.5 → Denver’s slower pace could keep the total in check.
Player Prop: Giannis Over 29.5 points → If Lillard is out, he’ll have to be the offense.

With Jokic orchestrating the offense and Denver’s depth giving them an edge, expect the Nuggets to take care of business at home. The Bucks will fight hard, but Denver’s efficiency and defensive discipline should earn them the win.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets 115, Bucks 108