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Pacers vs Knicks Betting Preview & Prediction | VegasMistake

May 25, 2025

Game Details:
Matchup: Knicks vs. Pacers
Date & Time: Sunday, May 25, 2025 | 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Betting Line: Pacers -2.5 | Over/Under: 215.5

Key Storylines

Game 7 Showdown: The Eastern Conference Semifinals comes down to a decisive Game 7 between two gritty teams that have battled through a rollercoaster of a series. The Pacers defended home court in Game 6 with a convincing win to extend the series, while the Knicks hope to replicate their Game 5 performance and steal one on the road.

Knicks Battling Injuries: Injuries have taken a serious toll on the Knicks. Julius Randle remains out for the season, and OG Anunoby is questionable with a hamstring injury that sidelined him since Game 2. Jalen Brunson has been carrying a heavy load, averaging over 31 points in the series, but the question is whether he has enough support on the road.

Pacers’ Depth Advantage: Indiana’s depth has proved vital in this series. Tyrese Haliburton has bounced back from a sluggish start to deliver strong performances in Games 5 and 6, while Pascal Siakam, Myles Turner, and Andrew Nembhard have given Indiana consistent scoring threats. The Pacers are undefeated at home this postseason, adding another layer of difficulty for the shorthanded Knicks.

Injury Report

Knicks:
Out: Julius Randle (shoulder), Mitchell Robinson (ankle)
Questionable: OG Anunoby (hamstring)

Pacers:
Probable: Tyrese Haliburton (back), Aaron Nesmith (ankle)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Knicks: 44-38-2 ATS this season
Pacers: 46-36-2 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 4 of the 6 games so far this series.
Knicks tend to play slower-paced, defensive basketball, while Pacers prefer a more up-tempo game.

Player Prop to Watch

Jalen Brunson (Knicks) – Points Total: 29.5
He’s been the offensive engine for New York all series. If OG Anunoby remains out, expect Brunson to attempt 25+ shots once again.

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 9.5
Haliburton has returned to form, dishing out 10+ assists in back-to-back games. Against a fatigued Knicks team, the over could hit again.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Pacers -2.5 → With their full roster, home-court advantage, and momentum from Game 6, Indiana has the edge.
Total: Under 215.5 → Game 7s typically trend lower scoring, and the Knicks’ pace aligns with the under.
Player Prop: Jalen Brunson Over 29.5 points → Expect a do-or-die effort from him regardless of injury concerns elsewhere.

New York’s heart and defensive toughness have carried them to the brink of the Eastern Conference Finals, but injuries may be too much to overcome. Expect a tightly fought battle, but ultimately Indiana’s depth, offensive balance, and hostile home environment should push them over the edge.

Final Score Prediction: Pacers 106, Knicks 101

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