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Pacers vs Thunder Betting Preview & Prediction | VegasMistake

Jun 10, 2025

Game Details:
Matchup: Thunder vs Pacers
Date & Time: Tuesday, June 10, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Betting Line: Pacers -2.5 | Over/Under: 227.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications: With the regular season winding down, both teams are jockeying for favorable playoff seeding. The Pacers are looking to secure home-court advantage in the first round, while the Thunder are aiming to finish in the top four of the Western Conference.

Thunder Heating Up: Oklahoma City has been red-hot, winning 8 of their last 10 games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to be the engine, averaging 30.2 points, 6.4 assists, and 1.9 steals per game over his last 10 outings. The combination of SGA and rising rookie Chet Holmgren has transformed this young team into a serious contender this season.

Pacers’ Consistency at Home: The Pacers have held their ground at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, sporting a 24-13 home record. Tyrese Haliburton has returned to form, dishing out double-digit assists in five consecutive games. Indiana has also benefited from the improved shot-making of Bennedict Mathurin and the steady inside presence of Myles Turner.

Injury Report

Thunder:
Questionable: Jalen Williams (ankle)
Out: Kenrich Williams (back)

Pacers:
Out: Isaiah Jackson (wrist), Jarace Walker (knee)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Thunder: 39-28 ATS
Pacers: 34-33 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 7 of the last 10 games for both teams.
Pacers home games have hit the over 61% of the time this season.

Head-to-Head Matchups

Oklahoma City won the first meeting earlier this season 121-113, behind a 35-point effort from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. This could give the Thunder a psychological edge, though Indiana will be seeking revenge on its home court.

Player Prop to Watch

Tyrese Haliburton – Assists Total: 10.5
The Pacers guard has been racking up assists recently and should surpass this number against a Thunder defense that can struggle against high-IQ passers.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Points Total: 27.5
SGA has eclipsed 30 in four of the last five games and this matchup sets up for another big scoring night.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder +2.5 → Oklahoma City is playing with confidence and has the firepower to win outright, making them a strong road dog tonight.

Total: Over 227.5 → Both teams are top-10 in pace and offensive efficiency, and this one should be a shootout.

Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton Over 10.5 assists → He’s exceeded this number in five straight games and will be the key distributor tonight.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 119, Pacers 115

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