Game Details:
Matchup: Thunder (Away) vs. Pacers (Home)
Date & Time: Thursday, June 19, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Betting Line: Pacers -2.5 | Over/Under: 235.5
Key Storylines
Playoff Implications
Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning in their respective conferences, with the Thunder aiming to tighten their hold near the top of the West and the Pacers fighting for home-court advantage in the East. This late-season showdown has the makings of a playoff atmosphere, and both teams are expected to bring intensity.
Thunder on the Road
The Thunder have been one of the best road teams in the league this season, boasting an impressive 24-14 record away from home. Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, they continue to be one of the most dynamic offenses in the NBA.
Pacers’ Home-Court Edge
Meanwhile, the Pacers are thriving at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, going 25-10 at home. Tyrese Haliburton continues to set the tone for this high-paced offense that ranks top-five in points per game. Tonight’s clash will test their defensive resilience against a versatile and aggressive Thunder lineup.
Injury Report
Thunder:
Questionable: Jalen Williams (ankle)
Probable: Chet Holmgren (illness)
Pacers:
Out: Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder), Andrew Nembhard (foot)
Questionable: Obi Toppin (back)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Thunder: 39-30 ATS
Pacers: 35-34 ATS
Over/Under Trends:
Total has gone OVER in 42 of Thunder’s 69 games
Total has gone OVER in 45 of Pacers’ 69 games
Player Prop to Watch
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Points Total: 28.5
SGA has scored 30+ in 5 of his last 7 games and will likely see plenty of usage against Indiana’s middling perimeter defense. The over has hit 4 of the last 5 times he’s faced East opponents.
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 10.5
With Indiana playing at one of the fastest paces, Haliburton should find ample opportunity to dish out double-digit assists, especially with Mathurin out and more usage falling on his shoulders.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Thunder +2.5 → The Thunder have proven themselves on the road and are catching points against a Pacers team that’s banged up.
Total: Over 235.5 → Both teams love to score and play at a fast tempo. Expect fireworks in this one.
Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points → He’s in peak form and Indiana doesn’t have the personnel to slow him down.
This game will likely go down to the wire, with both offenses firing on all cylinders. Look for the Thunder to steal a high-scoring win on the road behind Shai’s superstar performance.
Final Score Prediction: Thunder 124, Pacers 119