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Pistons vs Kings Betting Preview & Prediction | VegasMistake

Apr 7, 2025

Game Details:
Matchup: Kings (45-33) vs. Pistons (14-64)
Date & Time: Monday, April 7, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Betting Line: Kings -11.5 | Over/Under: 227.5

Key Storylines

Kings in Playoff Mode: With the postseason right around the corner, the Kings are firmly in the playoff hunt and looking to lock in a favorable seed in the Western Conference. Every win counts, particularly against struggling teams like the Pistons.

Pistons Limp Toward the Finish Line: Detroit has endured another difficult season, holding the worst record in the league. The team is focused on development at this stage, giving their younger players extended minutes as they play out the remainder of the schedule.

Latest Performance Trends: Sacramento is 4-2 in its last six games and just crushed the Spurs behind a 30-point night from De’Aaron Fox. The Pistons have lost five straight matchups and continue to struggle defensively, allowing an average of 118.7 points per game during that span.

Injury Report

Kings:
Questionable: Malik Monk (knee), Trey Lyles (shoulder)
Probable: Domantas Sabonis (rest management)

Pistons:
Out: Cade Cunningham (knee), Isaiah Stewart (hamstring), Bojan Bogdanovic (ankle)
Doubtful: Jalen Duren (ankle)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Kings: 37-38-3 ATS
Pistons: 33-42-3 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 38 of Sacramento’s 73 games
The total has gone under in 41 of Detroit’s 73 games

Kings Dominate on the Road vs Weak Teams:
Sacramento is 12-5 ATS when playing on the road against teams under .500. That makes tonight’s large spread worth a long look for bettors, especially with Detroit missing key personnel.

Player Prop to Watch

De’Aaron Fox (Kings) – Points Total: 26.5
Fox has scored 25+ in 4 of the last 5 games. Facing Detroit’s 28th-ranked defense, he has a great chance to go over again.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Kings -11.5 → Sacramento is motivated and Detroit is severely shorthanded. The Kings should cover comfortably.

Total: Under 227.5 → Detroit’s recent offensive struggles and lack of scoring options could keep the game below total despite Sacramento’s pace.

Player Prop: Fox Over 26.5 points → He’s heating up and should torch the Pistons guards.

With Detroit decimated by injuries, Sacramento has a perfect opportunity to grab a statement road win. Bet on the Kings to dominate both ends of the floor in a low-energy game for the Pistons.

Final Score Prediction: Kings 114, Pistons 98

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