Game Details:
Matchup: Falcons vs. Rams
Date & Time: Sunday, December 28, 2025 | 8:20 PM ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Betting Line: Rams -4.5 | Over/Under: 45.0
Key Storylines
Playoff Implications Are Front and Center
Both teams enter Week 17 of the NFL season with postseason dreams. The Rams are 9-6 and currently hold an NFC Wild Card spot, while the 7-8 Falcons remain mathematically alive in the playoff race, needing a win to stay in contention. The stakes couldn’t be higher in what promises to be a charged atmosphere at SoFi Stadium.
McVay vs. Morris: Familiar Foes
This matchup has an intriguing coaching subplot, as Falcons coach Raheem Morris served as the Rams’ defensive coordinator under Sean McVay before taking the head job in Atlanta. That familiarity could play a pivotal role, especially with both coaches knowing each other’s tendencies.
Stafford Looking Sharp Down the Stretch
Matthew Stafford has been red-hot, throwing for over 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns over the past four games, propelling the Rams into playoff positioning. Wideout Cooper Kupp and rookie sensation Puka Nacua continue to be primary weapons, facing a Falcons secondary that has been up and down all season.
Falcons Leaning on the Run
The Falcons will look to control the clock with their trio of running backs — Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier, and Cordarrelle Patterson. Quarterback Desmond Ridder has been inconsistent, placing extra pressure on the ground game to produce against a Rams defensive front anchored by Aaron Donald.
Injury Report
Falcons:
Questionable: WR Drake London (ankle), CB A.J. Terrell (concussion protocol)
Out: LB Troy Andersen (shoulder), LG Matthew Bergeron (knee)
Rams:
Questionable: RB Kyren Williams (hip), LT Alaric Jackson (ankle)
Out: TE Tyler Higbee (knee)
Betting Trends
- Falcons: 6-9 Against The Spread (ATS) this season
- Rams: 9-6 ATS this season
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Rams’ last 6 home games
- The total has gone under in 10 of the Falcons’ 15 games this season
Player Props to Watch
Cooper Kupp (Rams) – Receiving Yards: 74.5
Kupp has surpassed this number in 3 straight games. Against a Falcons defense that struggles on the road, the over is worth a look.
Bijan Robinson (Falcons) – Rushing Yards: 68.5
Robinson remains the centerpiece of Atlanta’s offense, and with potential rain in the forecast, expect a heavy workload.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Rams -4.5 → The Rams are peaking at the right time and have covered four of their last five games.
Total: Under 45.0 → Atlanta’s ball-control offense could shorten the game and keep the scoreboard in check.
Player Prop: Cooper Kupp Over 74.5 receiving yards → He’s thriving again down the stretch and will be a go-to target in key moments.
The Falcons have something to play for but haven’t shown enough consistency on the road. Expect Stafford and the Rams’ offense to pull away late in front of a playoff-hopeful home crowd.
Final Score Prediction: Rams 24, Falcons 17