Game Details:
Matchup: Texans vs. Ravens
Date & Time: Sunday, October 5, 2025 | 8:20 PM ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Betting Line: Ravens -5.5 | Over/Under: 44.5
Key Storylines
Texans Looking to Avenge Playoff Exit
This Week 5 showdown comes with an emotional undertone as the Texans return to Baltimore, where their 2024 playoff run ended in the Divisional Round. Houston is out for redemption and comes in riding the confidence of second-year quarterback C.J. Stroud, who has looked sharp to start the 2025 season.
Ravens Back in Prime Time
The Ravens have thrived in prime-time games under Lamar Jackson and will take the national spotlight once again tonight. Baltimore is off to a strong start and enters at 3-1, while boasting the league’s second-ranked scoring defense through four weeks.
Injury Report
Texans:
Out: WR Robert Woods (ankle), CB Derek Stingley Jr. (hamstring)
Questionable: LT Laremy Tunsil (knee), TE Brevin Jordan (quad)
Ravens:
Out: RB Keaton Mitchell (ACL), CB Marlon Humphrey (foot)
Questionable: WR Rashod Bateman (groin), LB Roquan Smith (shoulder)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Texans: 2-2 ATS this season
Ravens: 3-1 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 3 of 4 Ravens games
The total has gone over in 3 of 4 Texans games
Head-to-Head:
The Ravens have won four straight matchups vs the Texans, including their 34-10 playoff win in January 2024.
Player Props to Watch
C.J. Stroud (Texans) – Passing Yards: 245.5
Stroud may have to throw more often tonight against Baltimore’s elite run-stopping unit.
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) – Rushing Yards: 62.5
With the Texans allowing over 5.0 yards per carry to QBs this year, Jackson could break a few long ones.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Ravens -5.5 → Baltimore’s defense and home-field edge should be enough to handle the Texans’ challenge.
Total: Under 44.5 → Expect a more methodical, defense-heavy contest as both teams try to control the tempo.
Player Prop: Lamar Jackson Over 62.5 rushing yards → With top cornerbacks missing for both teams, Jackson’s legs could prove to be the difference.
The Texans’ offense is ascending with Stroud at the helm, but facing a Ravens defense ranked top-3 in nearly every category is a tall order. Baltimore has covered 5 of their last 6 home games, and their ability to pressure the quarterback may be the difference. Expect a statement win from the Ravens.
Final Score Prediction: Ravens 24, Texans 17