Game Details:
Matchup: Blue Jays vs Red Sox
Date & Time: Saturday, June 28, 2025 | 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Betting Line: Red Sox -1.5 | Over/Under: 9.0
Key Storylines
AL East Rivals Clash: The Blue Jays and Red Sox face off in Game 2 of their weekend series at Fenway Park with both clubs scrapping for positioning in a crowded AL East. With the division race tight, these head-to-head matchups take on added significance.
Red Sox Surging: After a sluggish start to June, the Red Sox have caught fire, winning 7 of their last 10 games and climbing back into the AL Wild Card picture. Their offense, led by Rafael Devers and Jarren Duran, has been red-hot at home.
Blue Jays’ Road Woes: Toronto continues to struggle away from Rogers Centre, posting a losing record on the road and an inconsistent offense. With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. still trying to regain his All-Star form, the lineup lacks the punch it had in previous seasons.
Injury Report
Blue Jays:
Out: Danny Jansen (wrist), Erik Swanson (forearm)
Day-to-Day: Bo Bichette (hamstring) – questionable for tonight’s game
Red Sox:
Out: Trevor Story (shoulder), Chris Martin (elbow)
Day-to-Day: Triston Casas (oblique) – unlikely to play, but could return during the series
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Blue Jays: 33-42 ATS this season
Red Sox: 40-35 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 5 of the last 7 games for the Red Sox
The total has gone under in 6 of Toronto’s last 8 road games
Head-to-Head:
The Red Sox lead the season series 3-2. They’ve posted a dominant 4-1 record at Fenway against Toronto over their last 5 meetings there.
Player Props to Watch
Rafael Devers (Red Sox) – Total Bases: 1.5
With 7 multi-hit games in his last 10 outings, Devers hitting the over on 1.5 total bases is a strong play — especially against a righty like Kevin Gausman, who has been inconsistent in recent starts.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) – Home Run Odds: +400
While he’s slumped overall, Guerrero has traditionally hit well at Fenway and could finally break out with long-ball potential in tonight’s hitter-friendly environment.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Red Sox -1.5 → Boston is playing sharp and has a distinct home-field advantage, especially against a Blue Jays team scuffling for offense.
Total: Over 9.0 → Expect runs on both sides, particularly if Bichette returns to the Toronto lineup and Gausman’s command remains an issue.
Player Prop: Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases → Ride the hot hand with the Red Sox’ most dangerous hitter right now.
With Boston’s bats heating up and playing at home, they look poised to make another statement win against a division rival. Toronto may need a stellar outing from Gausman to hang around, but the edge tonight firmly lies with the home team.
Final Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4