Game Details:
Matchup: Rays vs Reds
Date & Time: Thursday, July 10, 2025 | 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Betting Line: Reds -1.5 | Over/Under: 9.0

Key Storylines

Rays Fighting for AL East Positioning

The Rays enter tonight’s game still in the thick of the American League East race, looking to maintain playoff positioning as the second half of the season heats up. Tampa has found some offensive consistency lately, averaging 5.2 runs per game over their last 10 and winning seven of those contests.

Reds Riding Momentum at Home

Cincinnati comes into this interleague showdown playing some of their best baseball in weeks. The Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 home games and remain a tough team in Great American Ball Park, where the ball flies in the summer humidity. Their young core of Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer has been surging offensively.

Pitching Matchup

The Rays will send right-hander Taj Bradley to the mound. Bradley (6-4, 4.21 ERA) has showcased elite strikeout stuff, logging 11.2 K/9, but has struggled at times with command. The Reds counter with lefty Nick Lodolo (5-2, 3.77 ERA), who’s been solid since returning from an early season IL stint. Lodolo is 3-0 with a 2.81 ERA in four home starts this season.

Injury Report

Rays:
Out: Josh Lowe (oblique), Shane Baz (elbow)
Questionable: Brandon Lowe (back tightness)

Reds:
Out: Matt McLain (shoulder), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (wrist)
Questionable: Jake Fraley (hamstring)

Betting Trends

  • Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall
  • Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 home games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams
  • Reds are 14-9 all-time vs Rays

Player Prop to Watch

Elly De La Cruz (Reds) – Total Bases: 1.5
De La Cruz has multiple hits in 4 of his last 5 games and is always a threat on the basepaths. With Bradley’s occasional struggles vs left-handers, De La Cruz could feast tonight.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Reds -1.5 → With home-field advantage and Lodolo pitching well, expect Cincinnati to cover.
Total: Over 9.0 → Both lineups have the power to put up runs, especially in a hitter-friendly park.
Player Prop: Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases → He’s hot and could do damage against an inconsistent Bradley.

Final Score Prediction: Reds 6, Rays 4