Game Details:
Matchup: Warriors vs. Rockets
Date & Time: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 | 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Betting Line: Rockets -2.5 | Over/Under: 226.5

Key Storylines

Play-In Race Heats Up

With just a few games left in the regular season, both the Warriors and Rockets are fighting for position in the Western Conference play-in tournament. Houston currently holds a slim edge in the standings, but Golden State can leapfrog them with a win tonight, underscoring the importance of this matchup.

Rockets Riding Home Momentum

The Rockets have been solid at home this season, boasting a 25-14 record inside the Toyota Center. Behind the energetic play of Jalen Green and the consistent production from Alperen Sengun, they have become a tough team to beat in Houston. Their last three home games have seen them limit opponents under 108 points.

Warriors’ Veteran Push

The Warriors continue to lean on the leadership and experience of Steph Curry and Draymond Green. They’ve won four of their last six games and are hoping to carry that momentum into Houston. Golden State’s offense has perked up recently, averaging 118.7 points per game over their last seven contests.

Injury Report

Golden State:
Out: Gary Payton II (hamstring), Dario Saric (back)
Questionable: Andrew Wiggins (ankle)

Houston:
Out: Fred VanVleet (hip), Tari Eason (leg)
Questionable: Jock Landale (illness)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

• Warriors: 34-36-2 ATS this season
• Rockets: 39-33 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

• Total has gone over in 5 of Golden State’s last 7 games
• Total has gone under in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games

Player Prop to Watch

Steph Curry (Warriors) – Points Total: 25.5
Curry has scored 26+ points in four of his last five games. With Wiggins questionable, Curry’s usage remains sky-high, making the over an appealing option.

Jalen Green (Rockets) – Three-Pointers Made: 2.5
Green has been aggressive from deep lately, hitting three or more triples in four of his last six outings. If Houston is to match Golden State’s perimeter shooting, Green will be vital.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Warriors +2.5 → Golden State’s experience should give them the edge in a must-win scenario.
Total: Over 226.5 → Golden State has been involved in high-scoring affairs lately, and if the Rockets keep pace, this could go over.
Player Prop: Steph Curry Over 25.5 Points → He remains the focal point with late-season implications on the line.

Both teams have everything to play for, but the Warriors’ play-in and postseason experience gives them a slight edge, especially in crunch time. Expect a close contest, but Curry and Co. could pull it off in the fourth quarter.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors 117, Rockets 113