Game Details:
Matchup: Cavaliers (44-31) vs. Spurs (18-57)
Date & Time: Friday, April 4, 2025 | 8:30 PM ETVenue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Betting Line: Cavaliers -9.5 | Over/Under: 221.5

Key Storylines

Cleveland Fighting for Playoff Seeding

The Cavaliers enter this matchup in a tight race for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference. With just under 10 games left in the regular season, every win is critical. The team has gone 6-4 in their last 10 games and is trying to solidify home-court advantage in the first round. Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland continue to lead the backcourt, while Evan Mobley remains a force defensively.

San Antonio Playing Spoiler

The Spurs are well out of playoff contention, but they’ve shown life lately behind the inspired play of rookie sensation Victor Wembanyama. Even with a 5-5 stretch over their last 10, the Spurs have given top teams trouble—including a recent upset win against the Lakers. Their youth and unpredictable pace could make things tricky for Cleveland.

Injuries Could Be a Factor

Cleveland is dealing with some injury concerns, with Jarrett Allen listed as questionable due to a sore groin. His absence would leave a significant gap in Cleveland’s interior defense and rebounding. The Spurs, meanwhile, will be without Devin Vassell (knee) and Keldon Johnson (ankle), both of whom are key contributors.

Injury Report

Cavaliers:
Questionable: Jarrett Allen (groin)
Out: Ty Jerome (ankle)
Spurs:
Out: Devin Vassell (knee), Keldon Johnson (ankle)
Questionable: Jeremy Sochan (back)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Cavaliers: 36-38-1 ATS this season
Spurs: 32-40 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 6 of the Cavaliers’ last 8 games
The total has gone over in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 home games

Road vs. Home Splits:
Cavaliers are 22-17 on the road
Spurs are just 11-27 at home, but 4-2 ATS in their last six home matchups

Player Prop to Watch

Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) – Points Total: 26.5
Mitchell has averaged 27.4 points over his last five games and should be in line for heavy usage again, especially if Allen is out. The Spurs rank in the bottom five in defensive rating, making the over on Mitchell’s points prop a valuable target.

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) – Blocks Total: 2.5
Even in a rebuilding season, Wembanyama has shone as an elite shot blocker. He leads the league in blocks and has had 3+ blocks in four of his last five games.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Cavaliers -9.5 → Cleveland has more at stake and should take care of business against a depleted Spurs team.
Total: Over 221.5 → Both teams have been trending toward overs lately, especially with Cleveland scoring more efficiently.
Player Prop: Donovan Mitchell Over 26.5 points → Look for Mitchell to lead the scoring in this critical late-season matchup.

Final Score Prediction: Cavaliers 117, Spurs 105