Game Details:
Matchup: Grizzlies vs Thunder
Date & Time: Sunday, April 20, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Betting Line: Thunder -9.5 | Over/Under: 219.5

Key Storylines

Thunder Continue Playoff Push

With the playoffs approaching, the Thunder are looking to solidify their seeding in the Western Conference. Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the team has gone 7-3 in its last 10 games and has been dominant at home with a 27-11 record at the Paycom Center. Oklahoma City is peaking at the right time and enters tonight’s game as heavy favorites.

Injuries Ravage the Grizzlies

The Grizzlies have been decimated by injuries all season long — Ja Morant is out for the year, and key contributors like Desmond Bane and Marcus Smart remain sidelined. Memphis has struggled on the road (10-25) and recently dropped four of its last five games, making this late-season matchup more about pride and evaluation than playoff positioning.

Season Series Update

This marks the fourth and final meeting between these Western Conference rivals. The Thunder lead the series 2-1, including a 126-107 win last month in Memphis. Expect similar energy from the Thunder as they look to close out the series with a win in front of their home crowd.

Injury Report

Grizzlies:
Out: Ja Morant (shoulder), Desmond Bane (back), Marcus Smart (finger), Brandon Clarke (Achilles)
Questionable: GG Jackson (knee)

Thunder:
Out: Gordon Hayward (hamstring)
Questionable: Chet Holmgren (ankle)

Betting Trends

• Against the Spread (ATS):
  Grizzlies: 28-44 ATS
  Thunder: 42-30 ATS
• Over/Under Trends:
  The total has gone under in 5 of Memphis’ last 6 games
  The Thunder have hit the over in 4 of their last 6

Player Prop to Watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Points Total: 29.5
SGA has been on fire lately, averaging 31.1 points in his last 5 games. Memphis simply doesn’t have the defenders to slow him down at the point of attack. The over on his points prop looks enticing in a game where OKC should control the pace.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder -9.5 → With Memphis missing most of their core players, OKC’s depth and home dominance make them a solid pick to cover.

Total: Under 219.5 → Given Memphis’ recent offensive struggles and the Thunder’s improved defense down the stretch, expect a lower-scoring affair.

Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 points → Expect a statement game from SGA as he sharpens up for the playoffs.

With the Grizzlies dealing with a decimated roster and the Thunder surging toward the postseason, this one has blowout potential. Oklahoma City should take control early and never look back.

Final Score Prediction:
Thunder 116, Grizzlies 98