Game Details:
Matchup: Grizzlies vs Thunder
Date & Time: Tuesday, April 22, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Betting Line: Thunder -9.5 | Over/Under: 223.5

Key Storylines

Thunder Surging Behind Young Core

The Thunder continue to ride the momentum of an impressive 2025 campaign led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Oklahoma City has won four of its last five games and is looking to wrap up the regular season strong as they solidify a top-four seed in the Western Conference. Rookie Chet Holmgren and guard Jalen Williams have provided a big spark with their two-way play and spacing on offense.

Grizzlies Shorthanded and Struggling

Memphis enters tonight’s matchup battling injuries and inconsistency. Already without Ja Morant (shoulder surgery) for the remainder of the season, the Grizzlies have leaned on Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. to carry the offensive load. However, they’ve gone just 2-8 in their last 10 games and have struggled mightily on the road, holding a dismal 11-27 away record.

Injury Report

Grizzlies:
Out: Ja Morant (shoulder), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Ziaire Williams (ankle)
Questionable: Luke Kennard (hip), Derrick Rose (knee)

Thunder:
Out: None reported
Questionable: Luguentz Dort (illness)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Grizzlies: 28-41-2 ATS this season
Thunder: 44-27-1 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
Total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis’ last 10 games
Total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City’s last 8 home games

Home/Road Splits:
Grizzlies are 11-27 on the road this season
Thunder are 29-10 at home

Player Prop to Watch

Desmond Bane (Grizzlies) – Points Total: 23.5
Bane has taken on increased scoring responsibilities with Morant out. Averaging 25.1 points in his last five games, he could be worth backing on the over if the game stays competitive.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Points + Assists: 34.5
SGA continues to be a nightly mismatch. With Memphis ranking bottom 10 in defensive efficiency over the past month, taking the over on his combined points and assists looks smart.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder -9.5 → Memphis is too shorthanded to hang with Oklahoma City on the road.
Total: Under 223.5 → Expect a slower pace and potential blowout.
Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 34.5 Points + Assists → Expect a big stat line at home.

The Grizzlies’ injury woes and lack of offensive firepower should make this a comfortable win for the Thunder, who thrive at home. Back OKC to cover the spread and for the total to stay under due to Memphis’ scoring limitations.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 114, Grizzlies 98