Game Details:
Matchup: Lakers (42-34) vs Thunder (52-24)
Date & Time: Monday, April 7, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Betting Line: Thunder -4.5 | Over/Under: 232.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications: As the regular season winds down, both the Thunder and Lakers have their sights set on playoff positioning. The Thunder are battling for the top seed in the West, while the Lakers are entrenched in the play-in mix and fighting to secure a top-six spot to avoid the sudden-death tournament.

Thunder Back at Full Strength: Oklahoma City has welcomed back key contributors after resting players last week. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who missed a pair of recent games with a minor ankle concern, is expected to return tonight, giving the Thunder their full offensive arsenal.

LeBron and AD Questionable: The Lakers’ superstar duo remains day-to-day. Anthony Davis is dealing with lingering knee soreness while LeBron James continues managing a foot issue. Both players were listed as questionable in their last outing and will be game-time decisions tonight—which will heavily influence the betting line and total.

Injury Report

Lakers:
Questionable: LeBron James (foot), Anthony Davis (knee)
Out: Gabe Vincent (knee), Jarred Vanderbilt (foot)

Thunder:
Probable: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle), Jalen Williams (wrist)
Out: No major injuries

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Lakers: 35-41 ATS
Thunder: 46-28-2 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 38 of the Lakers’ 76 games
The total has gone under in 40 of the Thunder’s 76 games

Home Dominance: The Thunder are 30-9 at home, while the Lakers have struggled on the road (16-22). That home-court advantage may be the deciding factor in this late-season battle.

Player Prop to Watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Points Total: 28.5
With SGA returning to full strength, he’ll face a Lakers defense that ranks just 21st in defensive rating on the road. If Davis is out, expect more open lanes for SGA to exploit.

Austin Reaves (Lakers) – Assists Total: 5.5
Reaves has taken on more playmaking duties with LeBron out or limited. If James sits or is restricted, Reaves could exceed his assist prop easily.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder -4.5 → Oklahoma City’s youth, depth, and home-court dominance give them the edge, especially with the Lakers’ health uncertain.

Total: Under 232.5 → The Thunder have been trending toward the under, and if Davis or LeBron sit, LA’s offensive threat shrinks.

Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points → He’ll be the primary scoring option and should take advantage of the Lakers’ inconsistent perimeter defense.

Final Score Prediction:
Thunder 117, Lakers 108