Game Details:
Matchup: Pacers vs Thunder
Date & Time: Sunday, June 1, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Betting Line: Thunder -3.5 | Over/Under: 228.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Positioning on the Line

Tonight’s matchup could be pivotal for both teams’ playoff outlooks. The Thunder are surging late in the regular season and look to maintain home-court advantage going into the postseason. Meanwhile, the Pacers are fighting to secure their spot and avoid the play-in round.

Thunder Riding Hot Streak

Oklahoma City enters this game winners of six of their last seven games, including a big statement win over the Mavericks earlier this week. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to play at an MVP-caliber level, leading the team in points, assists, and steals.

Pacers Searching for Consistency on the Road

Indiana has struggled on the road recently, dropping four of their last five away from home. While they’ve shown flashes of explosive offense led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, their defense has proven too inconsistent, particularly against athletic and skilled guards like Gilgeous-Alexander.

Injury Report

Indiana:
Out: Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder), Isaiah Jackson (ankle)
Questionable: Andrew Nembhard (illness)

Oklahoma City:
Out: Gordon Hayward (back)
Probable: Jalen Williams (hip)

Betting Trends

• Against the Spread (ATS):
  Pacers: 35-32-2 ATS this season
  Thunder: 41-28 ATS this season
• Over/Under Trends:
  The total has gone over in 7 of Pacers’ last 10 games
  The total has gone under in 6 of Thunder’s last 9 games
• Home/Road Splits:
  Pacers: 15-21 on the road
  Thunder: 27-10 at home

Player Prop to Watch

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 9.5
With Indiana relying heavily on Haliburton’s playmaking, and with the Thunder defense looking to slow Siakam and Turner, expect Haliburton’s assist opportunities to remain high. The over is appealing if this stays close.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Points Total: 27.5
SGA thrives in big games and has scored 30+ in three of his last four outings. The Pacers rank in the bottom 10 in defensive rating, which could lead to another breakout game.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder -3.5 → With their strong home record and elite defense, OKC should cover in a close but controlled win.

Total: Under 228.5 → Despite the Pacers’ fast pace, Thunder’s defense should limit the scoring enough to keep this under the total.

Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 points → He’s heating up at the right time and faces a vulnerable defense.

Oklahoma City’s defensive intensity and home-court dominance give them the edge in this tough matchup. Indiana can hang around with their offensive weapons, but the Thunder’s big-game experience and deeper bench should help them close strong.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 115, Pacers 108