Game Details:
Matchup: Pacers vs. Thunder
Date & Time: Sunday, June 8, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Betting Line: Thunder -4.5 | Over/Under: 229.5

Key Storylines

Postseason Implications in the West and East

As the playoff race intensifies in early June, tonight’s matchup is critical for both teams. The Thunder sit firmly in the top 4 in the Western Conference, while the Pacers are fighting to maintain a postseason spot in the East. With only a few games left in the regular season, every contest matters — and this one doesn’t lack urgency.

Thunder’s Home Dominance

Oklahoma City has been one of the NBA’s best home teams this season, boasting a 28-9 record at Paycom Center. Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder have overwhelmed both eastern and western conference opponents on home court.

Pacers’ Fast-Paced Offense vs. OKC’s Balanced Attack

The Pacers enter tonight’s game leading the league in points per game, averaging 123.1. Tyrese Haliburton has been instrumental in orchestrating this high-octane offense, but they’ll be tested against the Thunder’s top-10 ranked defense. OKC’s mix of youth and discipline could pose a real challenge, especially if Chet Holmgren controls the paint.

Injury Report

Pacers:
Questionable: Bennedict Mathurin (ankle), Aaron Nesmith (knee)
Out: Jalen Smith (concussion)

Thunder:
Out: Gordon Hayward (back), Kenrich Williams (wrist)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Pacers: 35-37-3 ATS this season
Thunder: 41-32-2 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 43 of Indiana’s 75 games
The total has gone over in 38 of OKC’s 75 games

Home/Road Split:
Pacers are 18-21 on the road
Thunder are 28-9 at home

Player Props to Watch

• Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 10.5
  Oklahoma City’s perimeter defense will be tested if Haliburton is in rhythm. He’s averaging 10.7 assists per game on the season.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Points Total: 27.5
  SGA has averaged 29.3 points in his last five contests and remains the focal point of the Thunder offense.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Thunder -4.5 → The Thunder are elite at home, and with Indiana’s road inconsistency, this number offers value.

Total: Over 229.5 → With two top-tier offenses and some recent defensive slippage from Indiana, expect a fast-paced, high-scoring affair.

Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 points → With no major defenders to stifle him, SGA could post another big night.

This one promises to be an entertaining clash between explosive offenses and playoff-ready urgency. Expect the Thunder to make a statement at home against a scrappy Pacers squad.

Final Score Prediction: Thunder 121, Pacers 113