Game Details:
Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Date & Time: Monday, May 26, 2025 | 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Betting Line: Thunder -2.5 | Over/Under: 212.5
Key Storylines
Game 7 Showdown: Winner Takes All
The Western Conference Finals between the Timberwolves and Thunder comes down to one do-or-die Game 7. After a thrilling series filled with tight finishes and breakout performances, both teams face tremendous pressure as they look to punch their ticket to the NBA Finals.
Thunder’s Home-Court Edge
The Thunder return to Paycom Center, where they’ve been an elite 34-8 team in the regular season and 6-1 in the playoffs. Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC brings youth, speed, and intensity to a win-or-go-home matchup.
Timberwolves’ Defensive Identity
Minnesota has built its postseason success on elite defense, anchored by Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels. Anthony Edwards continues to rise to superstardom, and the Wolves will need his full arsenal and leadership to win on the road tonight.
Injury Report
Timberwolves:
Out: Kyle Anderson (back spasms)
Questionable: Naz Reid (ankle)
Thunder:
Out: Gordon Hayward (hamstring)
Questionable: Cason Wallace (hip)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Timberwolves: 46-39 ATS overall
Thunder: 49-35 ATS overall
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in five of the six games in this series.
Both teams ranked top-5 in defensive efficiency during the playoffs.
Game 7 Experience:
Timberwolves are in their first Game 7 since 2004.
Thunder are a young squad with most players facing their first Game 7 under bright lights. How they handle the pressure remains to be seen.
Player Prop to Watch
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Points Total: 27.5
Edwards has been carrying the scoring load for Minnesota. He dropped 36 points in Game 6 and remains the Wolves’ most dangerous player.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Assists Total: 6.5
SGA has controlled pace and playmaking, averaging 7.1 assists over his last five games. With the Wolves likely to trap and double him, expect SGA to create looks for teammates.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Thunder -2.5 → Leaning Thunder thanks to home-court advantage, momentum from Game 6, and an electric crowd.
Total: Under 212.5 → Defense has dominated most of this series, and Game 7 often brings tighter play and lower scoring.
Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 points → In a high-stakes moment, expect Edwards to rise again with a big scoring night.
It’s been a series full of battles, but the Thunder’s depth and home-court edge should give them just enough to outlast the Timberwolves. Keep an eye on how Minnesota’s offense responds to OKC’s traps and the intensity of a hostile crowd.
Final Score Prediction: Thunder 106, Timberwolves 100