Game Details:
Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Date & Time: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 | 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Betting Line: Thunder -3.5 | Over/Under: 215.5
Key Storylines
West Finals Game 5 Clash: It’s Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, and the series is deadlocked at 2-2. Minnesota tied things up on their home floor in Game 4, setting up a pivotal showdown in Oklahoma City.
Thunder Home Court Dominance: Oklahoma City is 6-1 at home during the postseason, anchored by a suffocating defense and an energetic young core led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. They’re looking to bounce back from a disappointing Game 4 loss.
Elite Defense vs Youthful Explosion: Minnesota’s top-ranked playoff defense is built around the length and versatility of Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, and Rudy Gobert. They’ll have their hands full containing a Thunder team that thrives in transition and improvises offensively.
Injury Report
Minnesota Timberwolves:
Questionable: Mike Conley (calf)
Out: Jaylen Clark (Achilles – season)
Oklahoma City Thunder:
No significant injuries reported
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Timberwolves: 44-37-1 ATS in regular season, 8-5 ATS in playoffs
Thunder: 46-35-1 ATS in regular season, 8-5 ATS in playoffs
Over/Under:
The total has gone under in 8 of Minnesota’s 13 playoff games
The total has gone under in 7 of Thunder’s 13 playoff games
Player Props to Watch
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Points Total: 26.5
Edwards has scored 27+ in five of his last seven playoff games. With the series tied, expect a heavy dosage of Edwards in a must-win road contest.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – Assists Total: 6.5
SGA’s scoring is consistent, but his playmaking will be vital against Minnesota’s elite defense. He tallied 7+ assists in three of the four games so far in the series.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Thunder -3.5 → Oklahoma City’s energy at home has been a real difference-maker. They’re 6-1 in the playoffs at Paycom Center and should have the edge in a raucous atmosphere.
Total: Under 215.5 → Both teams are playing stifling defense, and the under has been hitting consistently in this series. Expect another hard-fought, low-scoring battle.
Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 26.5 Points → It’s go time for Ant. He should rise to the occasion, especially if Conley is limited.
Final Score Prediction: Thunder 107, Timberwolves 101