Game Details:
Matchup: Diamondbacks vs Tigers
Date & Time: Tuesday, July 29, 2025 | 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Betting Line: Tigers -1.5 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
Playoff Implications for Both Sides
As July winds down, every game begins to have more weight, especially for teams like the Tigers and Diamondbacks who are both fighting in tight divisional races. Detroit is in the thick of the AL Central battle and every home win matters. Arizona, meanwhile, is trying to stay alive in the ultra-competitive NL West and Wild Card picture.
Starting Pitchers Duel Looming?
The Tigers are expected to start Casey Mize, who has looked sharp since returning from Tommy John surgery. Mize is 6-3 with a 3.42 ERA over his last 10 starts. The Diamondbacks counter with lefty Jordan Montgomery, who has a 4.01 ERA across 20 starts this year. The pitching matchup could favor the under, especially at Comerica Park where runs are typically harder to come by.
Diamondbacks’ Road Woes
Arizona has struggled on the road this season, going just 23-31 away from Chase Field. That trend has bettors wary in games like this where Detroit is surging at home and Arizona’s offense has been inconsistent outside of Phoenix.
Injury Report
Diamondbacks:
Out: Merrill Kelly (shoulder), Joc Pederson (back)
Day-to-Day: Corbin Carroll (hamstring)
Tigers:
Out: Tarik Skubal (elbow), Kerry Carpenter (shoulder)
Day-to-Day: Javier Báez (rest)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Diamondbacks: 49-54 ATS
Tigers: 55-48 ATS
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 56% of Detroit’s games this season
Arizona has hit the under in 7 of their last 10 road games
Player Prop to Watch
Spencer Torkelson (Tigers) – Home Runs: 0.5 (+320)
Torkelson has slugged five homers over his last 10 games and thrives against left-handed pitching. With Montgomery on the bump for Arizona, Torkelson could be a sneaky prop spot for bettors chasing value.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Tigers -1.5 → The Tigers’ reliable pitching and home success make this a confident lean.
Total: Under 8.5 → Both starters are in form and Comerica is a pitcher-friendly park.
Player Prop: Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 HR (+320) → Low-risk, high-reward payoff based on matchups.
The Tigers are playing good ball at home and Arizona is a different team away from their home turf. Expect a tight, low-scoring game that tips in Detroit’s favor late thanks to their bullpen and situational hitting.
Final Score Prediction: Tigers 4, Diamondbacks 2