Game Details:
Matchup: Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Date & Time: Tuesday, May 6, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Betting Line: Timberwolves -4.5 | Over/Under: 224.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Positioning at Stake: Both the Warriors and Timberwolves are entrenched in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race. With only a few regular season games left, every win matters. Minnesota is holding firm in the top four, while Golden State is trying to avoid the Play-In Tournament and climb into the top six.

Emergence of Anthony Edwards: Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards continues his ascension to superstardom, averaging 27.8 points over his last ten games and playing elite defense. He’ll be tasked with matching up against a future Hall of Famer in Stephen Curry.

Warriors Struggle on the Road: Golden State has continued their trend from last season — strong at home, shaky on the road, with just a 15-23 away record heading into this matchup. They’ll need a complete game to beat one of the league’s best home teams.

Draymond Green’s Defensive Impact: Draymond has been a difference-maker in the second half of the season, anchoring the defense and keeping the Warriors in tight games. His defensive presence will be key against Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert.

Injury Report

Warriors:
Out: Gary Payton II (hamstring), Andrew Wiggins (ankle)
Questionable: Klay Thompson (knee soreness)

Timberwolves:
Out: Jaden McDaniels (thumb)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Warriors: 31-37 ATS this season
Timberwolves: 39-29 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 35 of the Warriors’ 68 games
The total has gone over in 36 of the Timberwolves’ 68 games

Home/Road Splits:
Timberwolves: 28-10 at home
Warriors: Just 15-23 on the road this season

Player Prop to Watch

Stephen Curry (Warriors) – Points Total: 26.5
Curry has cooled slightly since his red-hot April, but he’s still the engine of the Warriors’ offense. With Wiggins potentially sidelined, expect an uptick in usage — the over might offer value if he gets hot early.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Threes Made: 2.5
The 3-point shot has become a key weapon for Edwards. With Minnesota likely to stretch the floor, this prop could be a sneaky good bet — especially at home where he’s more consistent.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Timberwolves -4.5 → Minnesota has been dominant at home, and with the Warriors missing key contributors, the home side should have the edge.

Total: Over 224.5 → While both teams pride themselves on defense, this late-season showdown could turn into more of an offensive battle, especially if Curry and Edwards light it up.

Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 2.5 Threes → He’s attempting more from deep and has hit 3+ in five of his last seven games.

This one has the feel of a playoff warm-up, and with home-court advantage and fewer injury concerns, Minnesota has more working in their favor. Expect a tight contest early, but the Timberwolves should pull away in the second half.

Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves 117, Warriors 109