Game Details:
Matchup: Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Date & Time: Thursday, May 8, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Betting Line: Timberwolves -4.5 | Over/Under: 225.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications Loom Large

As the regular season nears its end, both the Warriors and Timberwolves are looking to solidify their playoff standings. Minnesota has been dominant at home this season, while Golden State continues to navigate an aging core and inconsistent road play.

Timberwolves Riding Defensive Identity

Led by Defensive Player of the Year candidate Rudy Gobert, the Timberwolves boast one of the NBA’s top-rated defenses, allowing only 107.4 points per game — second best in the league. They’ve won 6 of their last 8 games and enter this matchup with momentum after a road win in Memphis.

Warriors Battling Inconsistency

Golden State remains one of the Western Conference’s most volatile teams. Stephen Curry has continued to shoulder the scoring load with Klay Thompson showing flashes but struggling with inconsistency. The Warriors are just 15-21 in road games this year and need to improve their late-game execution if they want to stay in the playoff mix.

Injury Report

Warriors:
Out: Gary Payton II (knee), Chris Paul (groin)
Questionable: Andrew Wiggins (illness)

Timberwolves:
Out: Jaylen Clark (Achilles)
Questionable: Mike Conley (knee soreness)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Warriors: 30-34-2 ATS this season
Timberwolves: 38-28 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone under in 5 of the last 7 Timberwolves games
The total has gone over in 6 of the last 9 Warriors games

Home/Road Splits:
Timberwolves: 25-12 at home
Warriors: 15-21 on the road

Player Prop to Watch

Stephen Curry (Warriors) – Points Total: 25.5
Curry remains the focal point of Golden State’s offense. He’s averaged 28.6 points in three games against Minnesota this season and could be leaned on heavily again depending on Wiggins’ status.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Points Total: 23.5
With Minnesota eyeing a strong playoff seeding, Edwards has been aggressive offensively, averaging 26.2 points over his last 5 games. Expect him to test Golden State’s soft perimeter defense early and often.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Timberwolves -4.5 → Minnesota has the defensive edge and a strong home record that should push them past a shaky Warriors team.
Total: Under 225.5 → Given both teams’ recent trends, expect a slightly lower-scoring contest highlighted by disciplined defense.
Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 23.5 points → He’s become the engine of this Timberwolves team and will look to take advantage of exploitable matchups.

Final Score Prediction:
Timberwolves 112, Warriors 104